3 月 21 日，有「新债王」之称的双线资本（DoubleLine）首席执行官杰弗里·冈拉克（Jeffrey Gundlach）周四表示，鉴于他认为经济衰退的风险加剧，市场可能即将迎来另一段痛苦的波动时期。
冈拉克认为，在未来几个季度内，经济衰退的可能性在 50% 至 60% 之间。尽管美联储设定的通胀目标为 2%，但冈拉克认为很难预见到通胀率会稳定在这一水平。他还指出，美国经济目前处于稳定状态，但暗示当前的状况可能正朝着量化宽松的方向发展。
冈拉克还分享了自己的投资建议。他建议美国投资者远离美国证券。他警告称，政府支出的减少可能会减缓经济增长的速度。
此外，冈拉克强调了黄金、比特币和其他实物资产的强劲表现。他建议，主要持有以美元为基础投资组合的投资者应考虑分散投资，减少对美国市场的依赖，转而在欧洲和新兴市场寻找投资机会。（金十）

<div>3 月 21 日，有「新债王」之称的双线资本（DoubleLine）首席执行官杰弗里·冈拉克（Jeffrey Gundlach）周四表示，鉴于他认为经济衰退的风险加剧，市场可能即将迎来另一段痛苦的波动时期。冈拉克认为，在未来几个季度内，经济衰退的可能性在 50% 至 60% 之间。尽管美联储设定的通胀目标为 2%，但冈拉克认为很难预见到通胀率会稳定在这一水平。他还指出，美国经济目前处于稳定状态，但暗示当前的状况可能正朝着量化宽松的方向发展。冈拉克还分享了自己的投资建议。他建议美国投资者远离美国证券。他警告称，政府支出的减少可能会减缓经济增长的速度。此外，冈拉克强调了黄金、比特币和其他实物资产的强劲表现。他建议，主要持有以美元为基础投资组合的投资者应考虑分散投资，减少对美国市场的依赖，转而在欧洲和新兴市场寻找投资机会。（金十）</div>

「新债王」冈拉克：经济衰退概率超过50%，美联储下次会议也不会降息

Here is the English translation, with '<>' content kept as is:

On March 21st, Jeffrey Gundlach, the CEO of DoubleLine, who is known as the "New Bond King", said on Thursday that given his view that the risk of a recession is increasing, the market may soon face another painful period of volatility.

Gundlach believes that the probability of a recession in the next few quarters is between 50% and 60%. Although the Federal Reserve's inflation target is 2%, Gundlach believes it is difficult to foresee inflation stabilizing at this level. He also pointed out that the US economy is currently in a stable state, but hinted that the current situation may be heading towards quantitative easing.

Gundlach also shared his investment advice. He advised US investors to stay away from US securities. He warned that a reduction in government spending could slow the pace of economic growth.

In addition, Gundlach emphasized the strong performance of gold, Bitcoin, and other physical assets. He suggested that investors with a primarily US dollar-based portfolio should consider diversifying, reducing their dependence on the US market, and seeking investment opportunities in Europe and emerging markets. (<金十>)

<div>On March 21, Jeffrey Gundlach, the CEO of DoubleLine, who is known as the "New Bond King", said on Thursday that given his view that the risk of a recession is increasing, the market may soon face another painful period of volatility.Gundlach believes that the probability of a recession in the next few quarters is between 50% and 60%. Although the Federal Reserve's inflation target is 2%, Gundlach believes it is difficult to foresee inflation stabilizing at this level. He also pointed out that the US economy is currently in a stable state, but hinted that the current situation may be heading towards quantitative easing.Gundlach also shared his investment advice. He advised US investors to stay away from US securities. He warned that a reduction in government spending could slow the pace of economic growth.In addition, Gundlach emphasized the strong performance of gold, Bitcoin, and other physical assets. He suggested that investors with a primarily US dollar-based portfolio should consider diversifying, reducing their dependence on the US market, and seeking investment opportunities in Europe and emerging markets. (Jinshi)</div>

"New Bond King" Gundlach: The probability of economic recession is more than 50%, and the Fed will not cut interest rates at the next meeting

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