Asia Colour - 25 Mar 25
1/ Markets are bouncing back, with Q2 seasonality historically favoring risk assets. The S&P 500 & Bitcoin tend to perform well in this period—second only to Q4. But is this the start of a true rally or just a temporary bounce? Let’s dive in.
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2/ What’s driving the move?
- The S&P 500 has averaged a 19.6% annualized return in Q2
- $BTC briefly broke above $88K, with alts outperforming
- Tariff fears eased as Trump hinted at potential exemptions
- Options markets remain cautious—no major shift toward calls yet
3/ Key catalysts ahead:
- Friday’s options expiry—highest open interest above $100K $BTC
- PCE inflation print—could be the next major market mover
- JPM Hedged Equity Fund levels—watching for potential volatility spikes if the S&P 500 drifts toward $5,565
4/ What’s next?
Markets are at a crossroads. Will seasonality and improving sentiment push us higher, or will macro risks bring fresh volatility?
Read more: www.qcpgroup.com/insights/asia...
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Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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