Wu Blockchain this week's macro indicators and analysis: "Tariff storm", US non-farm payrolls, Powell's speech

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Compiled by: GaryMa Wu Blockchain

Summary
Wu Blockchain's Weekly Macro Indicators and Analysis: Last week, the US February core PCE exceeded expectations, and a Bank of Japan committee member stated they will continue to raise interest rates if economic and price outlook is realized; this week will see the US March non-farm employment report, Trump's "Tariff Storm" on April 2nd, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech, and the European Central Bank's March monetary policy meeting minutes.

Last Week Review
  • The Bank of Japan's March policy meeting minutes summary showed that a committee member stated they will continue to raise interest rates if economic and price outlook is realized, but should not have preset ideas about specific policy management.
  • US initial jobless claims for the week of March 22 were 224,000, estimated at 225,000, with the previous value at 223,000.
  • US Q4 real GDP annualized quarter-on-quarter final value was 2.4%, estimated at 2.3%, with the revised value at 2.3%.
  • US Q4 core PCE price index annualized quarter-on-quarter final value was 2.6%, estimated at 2.7%.
  • US February core PCE price index year-on-year was 2.8%, expected 2.7%, a new high since December 2024.
  • US March University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index final value was 57, below the expected 57.9, with the initial value at 57.9.
  • US March University of Michigan one-year inflation expectation final value was 5%, expected 4.9%, with the previous value at 4.90%.

Key Events & Indicators This Week
March 31
  • China's March Official Manufacturing PMI (09:30)

April 01
  • China's March Caixin Manufacturing PMI (09:45)
  • US March ISM Manufacturing PMI (22:00)

April 02
  • US March ADP Employment (20:15)
  • US President Trump plans to implement reciprocal and industry-specific tariffs, imposing a 25% tariff on imported cars and a 25% tariff on countries purchasing Venezuelan energy.

April 03
  • China's March Caixin Services PMI (09:45)
  • European Central Bank publishes March Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes (19:30)
  • US Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending March 29 (20:30)

April 04
  • US March Unemployment Rate (20:30)
  • US March Seasonally Adjusted Non-Farm Employment (20:30)
  • Federal Reserve Chairman Powell delivers keynote speech (23:25)

Source
Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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