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Since the first half of 2025, the cryptocurrency market has entered the "post-bull market" phase, showing characteristics of high-level oscillation and structural differentiation.

Crypto market macro research report: In the post-bull market era, the shadow of the trade war is gradually fading, and there may be a rebound in the second half of the year​

I. The Cost of Expected Misalignment: The Crisis of Failure in the Federal Reserve's Policy Toolkit

This morning, under the dome of the Chicago Economic Club, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell cast a shadow over global capital markets with the cautious wording of "it is too early to judge now."

[Market]
During his 90-minute speech, <Bit> prices fell by 1.5% to $83,300, and the S&P 500 index simultaneously dropped by 2%. By the time of writing, <Bit> prices had recovered to $84,100.

This market volatility, which Bitwise analyst Juan Leon called the "lagging policy trap," reveals the traditional monetary policy framework...

Fed shifts direction? Powell says crypto regulation will be relaxed, is spring coming for the industry?

Powell reiterated that Trump's policies, such as tariffs, have exposed the economy to high uncertainty, and the Fed will wait until the situation becomes clearer before considering cutting interest rates and avoid tariffs that will push up inflation in the long run.

Powell reiterated that the Fed will wait and see before taking action, warned that it faces the challenges of inflation and economy, and denied that it would rescue the market

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