4 月 5 日，据 Kalshi 数据，2025 年美国经济衰退的可能性已激增至 62%，达到数月来的最高水平。
这一急剧上升是在中国对美国商品实施 34% 的报复性关税后发生的，美国最近加征关税后导致全球贸易紧张局势升级。

<div><p>4 月 5 日，据 Kalshi 数据，2025 年美国经济衰退的可能性已激增至 62%，达到数月来的最高水平。</p><p>这一急剧上升是在中国对美国商品实施 34% 的报复性关税后发生的，美国最近加征关税后导致全球贸易紧张局势升级。</p></div>

Kalshi上预测美国经济衰退的可能性已激增至62%

On April 5th, according to Kalshi data, the likelihood of an economic recession in the United States in 2025 has surged to 62%, reaching its highest level in months.

This sharp increase occurred after China imposed a 34% retaliatory tariff on U.S. goods, which led to escalating global trade tensions following recent U.S. tariff increases.

<div><p>On April 5th, according to Kalshi data, the likelihood of a U.S. economic recession in 2025 has surged to 62%, reaching its highest level in months.</p><p>This sharp increase occurred after China imposed a 34% retaliatory tariff on U.S. goods, which led to escalating global trade tensions following recent U.S. tariff increases.</p></div>

Kalshi predicts that the probability of a US recession has surged to 62%

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Kalshi predicts that the probability of a US recession has surged to 62%

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