PANews reported on April 9th that according to Cailian News, the latest US stock market research report released by Goldman Sachs shows that the duration of the US stock market bear market may be longer. Currently, it is an event-driven bear market (triggered by tariffs). However, given the continuously rising risk of economic recession, it can easily evolve into a cyclical bear market. Goldman Sachs further analyzed that in terms of trend, the average decline of cyclical and event-driven bear markets is usually around 30%, although their durations vary. Event-driven bear markets have a shorter duration and faster recovery. Cyclical bear markets last an average of about two years, and it takes about five years to fully rebound to the starting point, while event-driven bear markets typically last about eight months and can recover in about a year. Structural bear markets have the most severe impact, with an average decline of about 60%, lasting more than three years, and usually requiring ten years to fully recover.
