5 月 8 日，潘森宏观首席英国经济学家 Robert Wood 表示，下调对 2025 年和 2026 年的英国经济增长预测，现在预计该国 GDP 将在 2025 年和 2026 年分别增长 0.9% 和 1%，低于之前的 1.1% 和 1.5%。
尽管 3 月份通胀率已降至 2.6%，但预计未来几个月通胀率将大幅回升，第二季度可能达到 3.4%，到年底仅会降至 3.3%。
自上次预测评估以来的大部分数据通常会使 MPC 保持绝对谨慎的立场。但美国总统特朗普的关税已经颠覆了全球经济，扰乱了金融市场。在这种背景下，潘森宏观预计英国央行今年还会有三次 25 个基点的降息，包括 5 月和 6 月的连续降息，以及在 11 月的最后一次降息。(金十)

<div><p>5 月 8 日，潘森宏观首席英国经济学家 Robert Wood 表示，下调对 2025 年和 2026 年的英国经济增长预测，现在预计该国 GDP 将在 2025 年和 2026 年分别增长 0.9% 和 1%，低于之前的 1.1% 和 1.5%。</p><p>尽管 3 月份通胀率已降至 2.6%，但预计未来几个月通胀率将大幅回升，第二季度可能达到 3.4%，到年底仅会降至 3.3%。</p><p>自上次预测评估以来的大部分数据通常会使 MPC 保持绝对谨慎的立场。但美国总统特朗普的关税已经颠覆了全球经济，扰乱了金融市场。在这种背景下，潘森宏观预计英国央行今年还会有三次 25 个基点的降息，包括 5 月和 6 月的连续降息，以及在 11 月的最后一次降息。(金十)</p></div>

机构：预计英国央行年内还将再降息75个基点

On May 8th, Robert Wood, the chief British economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, stated that he was lowering the economic growth forecast for the UK in 2025 and 2026. He now predicts the country's GDP will grow by 0.9% and 1% in 2025 and 2026 respectively, lower than the previous forecasts of 1.1% and 1.5%.

Although the inflation rate dropped to 2.6% in March, it is expected to significantly rebound in the coming months, potentially reaching 3.4% in the second quarter and only declining to 3.3% by the end of the year.

Most data since the last forecast assessment would typically keep the <MPC> in an absolutely cautious position. However, President Trump's tariffs have disrupted the global economy and disturbed financial markets. In this context, Pantheon Macroeconomics anticipates that the Bank of England will make three 25 basis point rate cuts this year, including consecutive cuts in May and June, and a final cut in November. (<金十>)

<div><p>On May 8, Robert Wood, an economist from Pantheon Macroeconomics, stated that he is lowering the economic growth forecast for the UK in 2025 and 2026, now predicting the country's GDP will grow by . and % respectively in lower than the025the previous 1 1.11% and 1.5%.</p><p>Despite the rate inflation to % in March, expected it is expected to significantly rebound in the coming months, potentially reaching 3.4% in the second quarter and only declining to 3.3% by the end of the year.</p><p>Most data since the last forecast assessment would typically keep the MPC in an absolutely cautious position. However, President Trump's tariffs have disrupted the global economy and disturbed financial markets. In this context, Pantheon Macroeconomics predicts that the UK will have three three 25-basis-cuts year cuts May including cuts in May and June and the cut. (Jin Shi)</p></div>

Institution: It is expected that the Bank of England will cut interest rates by another 75 basis points this year

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