In-depth research report | Game changer "HashEpoch": How to use the three axes of "platform + public chain + token" to leverage the trillion-level guessing market?

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Introduction: Web3 Technology is Reshaping the Trillion-Dollar Betting Market

Betting activities (such as lotteries, blind boxes, digital guessing, and raffles) have formed a massive global market worth over $500 billion, with users reaching the trillion-level, thanks to their randomness and entertainment value. However, traditional betting has long faced a trust crisis due to centralized manipulation risks (such as "predetermined results" and "data tampering").

To solve these challenges, decentralized solutions based on blockchain and other Web3 technologies are driving industry transformation. The on-chain prediction platform Polymarket has successfully broken through by offering event prediction functionality, validating the feasibility of Web3 technology in the betting domain.

Recently, HashEpoch, targeting an even larger market as a comprehensive betting platform, has emerged, building a system solution from the underlying public chain to the application ecosystem, demonstrating its market ambition and potential.

This article will systematically deconstruct HashEpoch's core competitiveness and industry value from dimensions such as business model, token economic model, ecosystem layout, and future development prospects, revealing its potential to reshape the betting industry.

I. HashEpoch Group's Core Sections

(I) HashEpoch Sports Platform: Web3 Comprehensive Betting Platform

HashEpoch Sports Platform is an open Web3 competitive betting platform that ensures efficient and automatic execution of all projects, users, and assets through a series of smart contract calls with features like data transparency, fairness, fund escrow, and security verification.

Compared to Polymarket and traditional betting and on-chain competitive platforms, HashEpoch Sports Platform targets a larger market group. Polymarket only focuses on the event prediction niche market, while HashEpoch Sports Platform is positioned as a Web3 comprehensive betting platform. With years of industry experience and background, it aims to integrate the entire betting industry chain, creating a cross-border, multi-category betting and competitive project aggregation platform covering sports events, e-sports, and international hot event predictions.

In terms of industrial chain integration and transformation, HashEpoch Sports Platform primarily addresses trust issues, asset security problems, low efficiency, and user retention through four innovative mechanisms.

  • Hash Verification Mechanism: Ensuring race results are real and traceable through unalterable hash values while maintaining processing efficiency;
  • Smart Contract Escrow: Assets managed automatically by publicly audited smart contracts, eliminating human operation risks;
  • Loss Compensation Mechanism: Users can trigger a minting compensation contract when experiencing losses, receiving compensation in installments based on net value losses;
  • Behavior Reward Mechanism: Incentivizing user participation and invitations through Token/Non-Fungible Token to enhance engagement.

(II) HashEpoch Sports Chain: First Betting Oracle Public Chain

HashEpoch is set to launch a betting oracle public chain - HashEpoch Sports Chain. The public chain adopts hash value random execution and verification technology, creating a "digital oracle" designed specifically for the betting industry. It is expected to become the industry's first oracle public chain focusing on the betting track, aiming to solve on-chain data verification challenges for chess and competitive games, and provide efficient decentralized access solutions for Web2 projects.

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  • The demand side has multiple rigid consumption scenarios, such as staking mechanisms, deposit systems, lending demands, gas fee consumption, and insurance payouts, all of which ensure continuous Token consumption.
  • The supply-side deflationary model + strict release suppresses inflation risks. On one hand, the platform uses 25% of its profits for periodic buyback and destruction of HEST, directly reducing circulation. As business scale expands, destruction intensity strengthens, forming a positive cycle. On the other hand, team and ecosystem Tokens adopt a phased unlocking mechanism to avoid concentrated selling. Liquidity pool Tokens are gradually released through incentive plans, ensuring market stability.

b.Ecosystem Growth and Value Capture

  • Prediction Platform Traffic Monetization: As user scale expands, platform fees, margin staking, and lending demands will drive long-term demand for HEST.
  • Cross-chain and Ecosystem Cooperation: Future expansion to multi-chain ecosystems will attract more prediction DApps, expanding HEST's application scenarios.
  • Community Governance and DAO: Token holders can participate in ecosystem governance, further enhancing the Token's practical value and holding willingness.

c. Long-term Deflationary Model

  • Accelerated Destruction: As platform profitability grows, buyback and destruction intensity increases, continuously reducing circulation, forming a "deflationary + value-added" positive cycle.
  • Node and Liquidity Incentives: Attracting long-term holders through mining and liquidity rewards, reducing market selling pressure.

Overall, the HEST Token's economic model design balances short-term incentives and long-term value accumulation. Through multi-layered supply-demand mechanisms and a deflationary model, it lays the foundation for sustainable ecosystem development and Token value growth. As the ecosystem expands and deflationary effects emerge, HEST may become an important value carrier in the Web3 prediction track.

III. Development Potential and Challenges

(I) Market Potential

The "three-pronged" model of Web3 prediction platform, public chain, and Token, with mutual promotion forming a virtuous cycle.

HashEpoch Sports Platform utilizes blockchain technologyand innovative mechanismsto solve the trust crisis in traditional prediction industries, while providing advantages such as low fees, instant payments, andbehavior rewards, enhancing user experience and attracting global users.

HashEpoch Sports Chain, as the underlying infrastructure, not only provides decentralized, immutable technical support for the prediction platform but can also expand diverse application scenarios like Non-Fungible Tokens, DeFi, promoting industry standardization and ecosystem development.

HashEpoch Sports Tokenserves as the core asset of the entire ecosystem, giving clear value support through mechanisms like staking and buyback destruction, while incentivizing users to participate in ecosystem construction and enhancing user stickiness.

HashEpoch Group is expected to reshape the global prediction market landscape, driving the industry's comprehensive transformation from traditional models to Web3.

From the growth potential of Web3 prediction platforms,the global prediction market is massive, exceeding $500 billion in 2023. The transformation of traditional prediction industries through Web3 technologies like blockchain is almost a definite trend. Prediction platforms also have network effects. If HashEpoch Sports Platform can gain market share early through first-mover advantages, such as capturing 10% of the market, it represents a $50 billion opportunity.

From the growth potential of prediction oracle public chains,Chainlink, as the leader in the oracle track, primarily serves DeFi and cross-chain data scenarios, providing off-chain data pricing for smart contracts, with market cap once exceeding $50 billion. Compared to Chainlink, HashEpoch Sports Chain focuses on the vertical domain of sports predictions, with more extensive real application scenarios, and promising future growth potential.

(II) Development Opportunities and Advantages

In the short term, the 2026 World Cup and other major sporting events will bring explosive growth opportunities for Web3 prediction platforms. As one of the most influential global sporting events, the World Cup attracts billions of viewers. During the event, numerous fans and prediction enthusiasts will participate in various prediction activities, bringing massive traffic and user growth potential for Web3 prediction platforms.

HashEpoch can fully leverage this opportunity by launching World Cup-related prediction activities, optimizing platform functions and user experience to attract more users and achieve rapid business growth.

In the long term, as user awareness improves and the industry develops more systematically, the traditional prediction market and demand for fairness, transparency, and diversity brought by Web3 will become increasingly strong. The transformation of the prediction industry through Web3 technologies is virtually the only path and direction.

During this critical window for industry transformation, HashEpoch can potentially establish market position through the following advantages.

  • First-mover Advantage: Compared to Polymarket, HashEpoch not only focuses on prediction across all categories and entire industry chains but also spans from application to infrastructure layers, helping quickly establish brand recognition and user base in a competitive market.
  • Technical Advantage: The four innovative mechanisms of HashEpoch Sports Platform and the hash verification mechanism of HashEpoch Sports Chain bring prediction fairness and transparency, potentially providing industry-reference technical standards.
  • Ecosystem Advantage: HashEpoch covers core businesses like prediction competitions and asset trading, actively integrating with areas like Non-Fungible Tokens and DeFi. It provides users with richer experiences and more income opportunities, enhancing ecosystem attractiveness and stickiness.
  • Traffic Advantage: HashEpoch adopts event prediction + task traffic + MiniAPP + cross-platform linkagemulti-ecosystem model, achieving high-speed traffic acquisition and user retention.

(III) Risks and Challenges

Despite the broad prospects for Web3 prediction platforms, their development faces numerous risks and challenges. First, regulatory risk is a critical issue. Globally, the prediction industry is strictly regulated, with significant legal differences across countries and regions. HashEpoch Group must ensure its operations comply with local regulations to avoid business restrictions or interruptions due to compliance issues.

Secondly, in terms of technology, while blockchain technology has advantages, technological updates are rapid. HashEpoch needs continuous R&D investment to address potential technological bottlenecks or security vulnerabilities. Moreover, as Web3 technology becomes more prevalent, more prediction platforms may enter the market, intensifying competitive risks. HashEpoch must continuously enhance its competitiveness, optimize user experience, and expand market share to withstand competitive pressures from other platforms.

This article does not provide investment advice. Due to limited public information, please exercise caution.

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Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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