火星财经消息，据官网数据，Polymarket 上预测“马斯克今年年底前创建新政党”的概率报 16%，预测“马斯克 6 月底前创建新政党”的概率报 5%。这两个概率较昨日分别下降 5% 和 2%。

<div>火星财经消息，据官网数据，Polymarket 上预测“马斯克今年年底前创建新政党”的概率报 16%，预测“马斯克 6 月底前创建新政党”的概率报 5%。这两个概率较昨日分别下降 5% 和 2%。</div>

Polymarket 上预测“马斯克今年内创建新政党”的概率暂报 16%

According to Mars Finance, based on official website data, the probability of "Musk creating a new party by the end of this year" on Polymarket is 16%, while the probability of "Musk creating a new party before the end of June" is 5%. These probabilities have decreased by 5% and 2% respectively compared to yesterday.

<div>Mars Finance News: According to official website data, the probability of "Musk creating a new party before the end of this year" on Polymarket is 16%, while the probability of "Musk creating a new party before the end of June" is 5%. These two probabilities have decreased by 5% and 2% respectively compared to yesterday.</div>

Polymarket predicts that the probability of "Musk establishing a new political party this year" is temporarily reported at 16%.

Another case of "address poisoning," causing one user to lose $50 million. Photo: Techradar
The attack caused a shock.
A cryptocurrency user lost nearly $50 million USDT after mistakenly transferring the funds to...

Another case of "address poisoning," causing one user to lose $50 million.

Today we saw gold, silver, and palladium all hit new highs! Since the correction at the end of October, gold has been trading above the 25-35 day moving average; silver is rising along the four-hour moving average; and palladium is rising along the three-day moving average.
Synchronization: This "synchronized new highs" usually signifies the start of a major trend. Gold provides "stability," silver provides "elasticity," while the addition of palladium indicates a dual surge in industrial and investment demand.
In this clear upward trend, trading volume has not weakened significantly and no bearish structure has emerged. Don't try to short the short at the top; otherwise, you'll end up with...

Market Analysis | Gold, Silver, and Palladium Hit New Highs! How High Can They Go!?

Chapter 1: Executive Summary and Industry Landscape Analysis
As of December 19, 2025, the global digital asset mining sector is undergoing the most profound structural transformation since the birth of Bitcoin. With Bitcoin's price retreating to the $86,000 range after reaching an all-time high of approximately $125,000 in October 2025, and the total network hashrate surpassing the 1,000 EH/s mark, mining companies face the dual challenges of compressed profit margins and surging capital expenditures in the "post-halving era."

1.1 Industry Differentiation

Figure 1: Analysis of the Relationship between Hashrate and Market Capitalization of Major Mining Companies in 2025

The above figure clearly shows the current...