Bitcoin was ~$28,000 on October 7, 2023.
Bitcoin was ~$61,000 on October 1, 2024.
These were the two biggest geopolitical dates in the Middle East over the past two years, with a bunch of travesties occurring since then & between them, and BTC is currently trading at ~$104k.

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Next Week's Key Preview

December 22nd

Aster: Phase 5 airdrop will begin on December 22nd and last for 6 weeks;

Espresso will open airdrop registration on December 22nd;

December 23rd

The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis will release third-quarter GDP data on December 23rd;

December 24th
U.S. and European stock markets will be closed for Christmas, and whether a "Christmas rally" will materialize remains uncertain;

The U.S. will release initial jobless claims for the week ending December 20th;...

Must-watch items next week: US Bureau of Economic Analysis to release Q3 GDP data; Aster launches fifth phase of airdrop (December 22-28).

Following the controversy surrounding Fundstrat's Bitcoin views, co-founder Tom Lee responded, stating that the "contradictory predictions" seen by outsiders were actually research conclusions from different positions and timelines, not internal disagreements. Previously, Sean Farrell, head of digital asset strategy at Fundstrat, suggested that Bitcoin might retrace to the $60,000-$65,000 range in the first half of 2026; while Tom Lee believed Bitcoin could reach new highs, even surging to $200,000 as early as the beginning of 2026. A Fundstrat...

Tom Lee responds to Fundstrat's "contradictory" views on Bitcoin: Different positions, different timelines, not internal disagreements.

Source: Galaxy Research
Translation: Jinse Finance
Bitcoin's closing price in 2025 is expected to be roughly the same as the level at the beginning of the year.
The cryptocurrency market experienced a genuine bullish wave in the first ten months of this year. Regulatory reforms continued to advance, ETFs continued to attract funds, and on-chain activity became increasingly active. Bitcoin hit an all-time high of $126,080 on October 6th.
However, the market failed to deliver the expected breakout after the initial frenzy; instead, it experienced rotation, repricing, and rebalancing. This was driven by factors such as unmet macroeconomic expectations, a shift in investment narratives, leveraged liquidations, and the actions of whale...

Galaxy: 26 Predictions for the Crypto Market in 2026

The point that I'm trying to make here is that, based on evidence within the current market cycle, worrying about Bitcoin as a result of geopolitical tension, war, etc. hasn't been necessary.
What is necessary is hoping that the wars & attacks stop, from a human perspective.