6 月 15 日，据 CME「美联储观察」数据，距离下一次 FOMC 会议剩余 4 日（6 月 19 日周四北京时间凌晨 2 点公布利率决议），美联储 6 月降息 25 个基点的概率为 0.4%，维持不变的概率为 99.6%。
美联储至 7 月累计降息 50 个基点的概率为 0.1%，累计降息 25 个基点的概率为 23%，维持不变的概率为 76.9%。

<div><p>6 月 15 日，据 CME「美联储观察」数据，距离下一次 FOMC 会议剩余 4 日（6 月 19 日周四北京时间凌晨 2 点公布利率决议），美联储 6 月降息 25 个基点的概率为 0.4%，维持不变的概率为 99.6%。</p><p>美联储至 7 月累计降息 50 个基点的概率为 0.1%，累计降息 25 个基点的概率为 23%，维持不变的概率为 76.9%。</p></div>

距美联储利率决议剩余4日，6月降息25个基点的概率为0.4%

On June 15th, according to CME "Fed Watch" data, with 4 days remaining until the next FOMC meeting (rate decision to be announced at 2 AM Beijing time on Thursday, June 19th), the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in June is 0.4%, while the probability of maintaining current rates is 99.6%.

The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by a cumulative 50 basis points by July is 0.1%, the probability of cutting rates by a cumulative 25 basis points is 23%, and the probability of maintaining current rates is 76.9%.

<div><p>On June 15, according to CME "Fed Watch" data, with 4 days remaining until the next FOMC meeting (rate decision to be announced at 2 AM Beijing time on Thursday, June 19), the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in June is 0.4%, while the probability of maintaining current rates is 99.6%.</p><p>The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by a cumulative 50 basis points by July is 0.1%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut is 23%, and the probability of maintaining current rates is 76.9%.</p></div>

There are only 4 days left before the Fed’s interest rate decision. The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in June is 0.4%.

Crypto traders have not yet shown enough fear on social media to confirm a market bottom, according to a crypto analyst who suggested Bitcoin could still slide to around $75,000.
“It looks very tempti...

Crypto market ‘isn’t scared enough’ to call a bottom yet: Santiment

Author | Shisi Jun

1. Introduction
In the blink of an eye, I've been working in the wallet industry for four years. Many people think the wallet landscape in 2025 is already solidified, but that's not the case—it's been turbulent beneath the surface. This year:

· Coinbase launched its new CDP wallet, built on TEE technology;

· Binance's MPC wallet introduces key sharding and hosting to the TEE environment;

· Bitget just released its social login feature last week, hosted on a TEE basis;

· ...

A brief overview of the history of blockchain wallets and the market landscape in 2025.

According to ME News, on December 21st (UTC+8), Ethereum founder Vitalik Buterin posted on Farcaster, stating that prediction markets are a good remedy for volatile opinions on emotional topics. He used two screenshots as examples: Elon Musk previously posted that a British civil war was "inevitable," while the prediction market Polymarket showed only a 3% probability of a "Will there be a British civil war in 2024?" (Vitalik believes 3% is still too high, as some bettors have inflated the probability). Vitalik...