According to Followin, U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent issued a rare warning, stating that several sectors of the U.S. economy are already entering recession and that failure by the Federal Reserve to accelerate rate cuts could lead to broader economic fallout. The statement marks a clear escalation of the White House’s public pressure on monetary policy and underscores growing internal divisions within the decision-making ranks. In response, three Fed officials emphasized that “a December rate cut is far from guaranteed,” reigniting market uncertainty over the policy outlook.
On the macro level, while the U.S. economy continues to show resilience, rising pressures in real estate and small business lending, coupled with delayed government data due to the ongoing shutdown, have made policymaking increasingly opaque. Investors have begun repricing risk assets and the U.S. yield curve, with short-term rate volatility intensifying and safe-haven demand remaining elevated.
Bitunix Analyst View:
BTC currently holds short-term daily support at the $107,300–$108,000 range; a breakdown could trigger cascading liquidations toward $104,900. Resistance lies between $113,800–$116,800, corresponding to major liquidity clusters with a correlation value of 0.9. Although the balance sheet reduction cycle is nearing its end — signaling an approaching policy inflection point — overvalued assets and debt-dependent firms remain key risks. As Fed officials reiterate that the pace of rate cuts will depend on upcoming data, the crypto market is likely to seek a new equilibrium amid heightened volatility.
