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Graeme
12-14

If the L1 trade is officially over, then we need another investment vehicle to create a wealth effect to kick off an official alt-season. The last true alt-season was in 2021, driven by the L1 trade, which echoed until now. If you were a maxi of almost any chain; ETH, SOL, AVAX, ADA. You made it. That trade created a massive wealth effect. And when people suddenly have excess capital, they deploy it everywhere: DeFi, NFTs, gaming, memes, DAOs. That’s how a real alt-season forms. These days people don't care about new L1s, or the countless ghost chains. The last great L1 trades ended with the Solana run from $9 or Hyperliquid’s generational airdrop and consequential run-up. Outside of these, there hasn’t been a PVE event that was accessible to “everyone.” Crypto is boring now. Boring can be a good thing. It means fundamentals drive prices, and those come far and few between. The next potential big liquidity moment could be $BASE. Although no ones knows when that will come. If BASE executes a meaningful community airdrop, it could create a Hyperliquid-sized wealth effect, and pump the ecosystem along with it. But that’s still only one ecosystem. It might ignite a localized alt-bubble, not a full market-wide alt-season. We may be stuck in purgatory until 'that' major airdrop for a local alt-bubble, or when a consensus-wide app generate real cash flows and their token start reflecting that value for all to enjoy.

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Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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