ME 消息，12 月 15 日（UTC+8）， 预测市场 Kalshi 数据显示，凯文·沃什当选美联储主席概率已超越凯文·哈塞特，前者当前概率现报 49%，后者为 48%，另一位候选人克里斯托弗·沃勒的支持率为 4%。此前消息，哈塞特的美联储候选人资格因与特朗普的关系而面临阻力，引发了人们对美联储独立性的担忧。在这些担忧的背景下，沃什的支持率上升，市场迅速做出反应。（来源：ME）

预测市场显示凯文·沃什当选美联储主席概率已超越凯文·哈塞特

According to ME, on December 15th (UTC+8), Kalshi prediction market data shows that Kevin Warsh&#39;s probability of being elected Federal Reserve Chairman has surpassed that of Kevin Hassett, with Warsh currently at 49% and Hassett at 48%. Another candidate, Christopher Waller, has a 4% approval rating. Previously, Hassett&#39;s Fed candidacy faced obstacles due to his relationship with Trump, raising concerns about the Fed&#39;s independence. Against this backdrop of concerns, Warsh&#39;s support has risen, and the market has reacted quickly. (Source: ME)

Market forecasts indicate that Kevin Warsh's probability of being elected Federal Reserve Chairman has surpassed that of Kevin Hassett.

Original article | Odaily Odaily(@OdailyChina)
Author｜Golem (@web3_golem)
On the evening of December 15th, Bitcoin experienced another flash crash, plunging from $89,000 to around $85,000, approaching the low of $83,822 on December 1st. Accompanying the plunge, the market's Fear & Greed Index fell to 21 (extreme fear).
"Be greedy when others are fearful"? The temptation to buy the dips or engage in swing trading is immense right now, but it's extremely easy to make a mistake. Monday's flash crash was not an isolated incident. 12...

Is the crash just beginning? Three major "macroeconomic bombs" about to explode for BTC.

Our orders placed on December 4th and 11th both successfully hit their profit targets.
Currently, we expect a rebound to occur, but going long here carries relatively high risk. Firstly, US stock indices are at high levels and are declining. Secondly, BTC is currently in the price range of val and hasn't reacted immediately, but we'll proceed with our plan first, only acting if it meets the criteria. The high and low points of this range have been marked, but the bears have the upper hand, so we don't want to see a rebound only after the low point of the range is breached. If the low point is breached, it would indicate that the market is extremely weak and might continue to decline. We expect to see support in the orange area...

Shill signals | BTC

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