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Profits on BTC short positions are in hand! ETH rebounded but failed to materialize, GUN's retail investor scams were obvious, BCH fluctuated around 540, ASTER fell below the CZ buy price, and FORM is a bear market monster coin. Have you avoided the pitfalls of these coins?

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My darlings, I predicted it perfectly again! This time, the trend was spot on, exactly as I guessed. Bitcoin dropped sharply on a minor scale, and our short positions made almost 2000 points. Those with heavy positions should quickly take profits in batches to secure their gains. If you want to hold a little longer, set a stop-loss at breakeven and don't be greedy. Also, this is a minor downtrend, and 86,000 is a minor support level. If this level doesn't hold, there's a high probability of another accelerated plunge. The specific direction will depend on the market pattern, and I'll update my analysis later.
This ETH rebound has been really weak. A few days ago, its performance was significantly stronger than Bitcoin's. But last night, it didn't even touch $3000 before falling back down. Our planned short positions missed their entry point. However, the market will likely consolidate for a while. As long as the smaller timeframes don't break the recent low, there's still a chance to test the $3050 level. So, we can hold onto our short positions from yesterday and wait for an opportunity.

Looking at the trading volume and price increase charts today, I found that GUN's price movement is a perfect reflection of the current market. Market makers first pump the price to attract retail investors to trade futures, then use the futures market to profit, and finally buy back their holdings at a lower price. Therefore, it's best to observe more and act less before the settlement date. As for BCH, the price is still hovering around 540, and I also suggest waiting until after settlement before considering entering the market.

On-chain:

I recently discovered something interesting while scanning the blockchain: the gameplay of meme coins on BSC and SOL is quite different. On BSC, meme coins generally experience a steady decline after the big players unload their holdings, leaving only retail investors holding on. To recover, they need to ride the wave of trending topics, and even then, there's no guarantee they'll surpass previous highs. SOL is different; many coins that have gone to zero have been revived through speculation. Foreign investors are decisive, taking profits and cutting losses quickly. As long as the theme is well-received, there's a chance to return to previous highs or even break through them. Therefore, don't rush into a second entry; patiently wait for the right opportunity, otherwise you're likely to get trapped.

Binance Alpha seems to have changed some rules. I noticed that the points deducted for claiming tokens last night are different. Previously, it was a fixed 15 points per claim, but now the earlier you claim, the more points you deduct, starting at 30 points and gradually decreasing thereafter. Actually, this change is quite good, since the opening price is usually the highest.

However, the highs of newly listed cryptocurrencies on Alpha recently are no longer on the first day. If you can hold on to them, the returns will be even higher later.

Let's talk about the US-listed stocks that just launched on MSX. They've all performed quite well, with potential for profit from their lows. But you have to be patient and wait; you can't just jump in as soon as they go live. I glanced at my own holdings, and even Nvidia is starting to lose money.

$aster's current price is significantly lower than CZ's purchase price. It's likely most people bought it because of CZ's endorsement, but it seems that support level has collapsed. The trading competition they organized was quite controversial, but I think it was worthwhile. If they had simply spent money on advertising, it definitely wouldn't have achieved such widespread reach.

Those smaller cryptocurrencies that surged a few days ago are now starting to see profit-taking. These types of coins are particularly difficult to trade; long vulnerable to being dumped, short you prone to liquidation and incurring funding fees. This kind of market is truly difficult to navigate. I've shorted coins like Beat, Pinpin, Jellyjelly, Power, and Folks, but now that they're plummeting, I have no positions left and simply can't hold onto my trades.

Retrospective analysis:

Yesterday I opened a short position on BEAT futures and took profit around 2.2. Although the coin is still falling, its volatility is too high, and we've already made 20 points, so it's time to take profits and not be too greedy!
FORM: FORM was formerly known as BNX, the coin that caused a sensation during the 2022 bear market. It made a fortune in blockchain games in its early days, and now it's renamed Launchpad. The project team is incredibly wealthy. During the last bear market, it surged from $7 to $170, crushing countless short sellers. This coin has over 95% control, meaning the tokens are basically in the hands of insiders. Retail investors either have no holdings or their cost basis exceeds $3. This is a meat grinder; don't easily go long or short, and it's best to stay away. I'm only trying with a small position. Its price fluctuations are unpredictable, purely designed to fleece retail investors. I still hope it can replicate the bear market surprise of BNX.
The market is constantly changing, and specific entry and exit points should be determined based on real-time conditions. Follow the trend after a breakout! No matter how confident you are, please strictly adhere to your stop-loss and take-profit strategies! That's all for today! Follow me so you don't get lost! QQ: 2178747366, QQ: 2499660658 ( Add me with a note, and I'll add you to our learning and discussion group).

Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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