Bitcoin’s return profile changes with the macro regime.
When financial conditions are tightening, Bitcoin’s weekly returns show a small negative bias.
When financial conditions are loosening, the distribution shifts upward, with more positive weeks and fatter upside tails.

Another key piece of the puzzle is the ETF flow regime.
Flows are moving closer to a net-inflow environment, which historically increases the odds of a sustained price recovery for Bitcoin, if that shift holds.
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Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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