Bubblemaps: Some current market analyses of Polymarket insider trading have flaws.

[Bubblemaps: Some Current Analysis of Polymarket Insider Trading Has Flaws] According to Mars Finance, on-chain transaction analysis platform Bubblemaps posted on X that analysis of Polymarket insiders has gotten out of control. Some posts link Maduro's insider at Polymarket to a co-founder of WLFI, which sounds sensational but is logically weak. Another analysis claims a Polymarket insider received approximately 250 SOL from Coinbase, and a similar SOL deposit was made into Coinbase the previous day, claiming a 99% correlation. Bubblemaps points out that this conclusion is flawed: the time interval is too large, and it only considers the inflow of SOL, ignoring the possibility of USDC, ETH, or other assets. In fact, 20 matching cases can be found within the same one-day window. Furthermore, the deposit could originate from bank transfers, multiple small deposits, or actions from several months/years ago. They warn that while time analysis is powerful, improper use can lead to almost any erroneous conclusion.