According to ME News, on February 10th (UTC+8), during the Consensus Hong Kong conference, CertiK, a leading global Web3 security company, released the "Skynet Prediction Market Report," which systematically outlines the growth trends, market structure, and potential risks of the prediction market. The report shows that between 2024 and 2025, the global prediction market transaction volume will jump from approximately $15.8 billion to $63.5 billion, an increase of 400%, indicating that the prediction market is moving from native crypto applications to mainstream financial and information infrastructure.
According to the Skynet Top Board data released at the same time, the market currently presents a three-way competition between Kalshi, Polymarket, and Opinion, which together account for over 95% of the trading volume. However, they differ significantly in terms of compliance paths, user structure, and ecosystem support. Meanwhile, liquidity is undergoing a structural shift, with the BNB chain surpassing Polygon in early 2026 to become the public chain with the most concentrated capital inflows.
Behind this rapid expansion, security and compliance risks are amplified simultaneously. The report reveals that issues such as Web 2.5 hybrid architecture and centralized administrator privileges are becoming systemic risk sources for the prediction market. On the regulatory front, global policies are highly fragmented, while Hong Kong, Dubai, and Singapore are considered likely to be among the first to establish clear regulatory frameworks.
CertiK believes that future prediction market platforms that can thrive in the long term must simultaneously possess cross-regional liquidity, secure infrastructure, and a sustainable business model. (Source: ME)
