这篇文章提到了一个非常重要的事情，可以说是预测市场领域【房间里的大象】：预言机操纵和中心化问题👀👀
“美国会军事干预委内瑞拉吗？”
”“泽连斯基是否会穿西装”
“俄乌战场ISW”
类似的争议已经出了很多回了，最近另外两个有意思的事情是Opinion 上币事件的预测新增了一个6月底和一个12月底，还有PM上 耶稣是否会再临被当成了保本理财
如果预测市场真的爆发式增长，交易量和深度逐渐增加，这种操纵风险和中心化问题会变得越来越严重

🚨 The single biggest bottleneck holding prediction markets back isn't liquidity or regulation. It's the oracle.
Our latest deep dive, “Prediction Markets 202: The Awakening of the Oracle,” breaks down why the leap from niche experiment to “super asset market” runs through a

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This article raises a crucial issue, arguably the "elephant in the room" in the prediction market field: oracle manipulation and centralization.

"Will the US militarily intervene in Venezuela?"

"Will Zelensky wear a suit?"

"ISW on the Russia-Ukraine battlefield"

Similar controversies have arisen many times. Two other interesting recent developments are the addition of late June and late December to the predictions for Opinion's coin listings, and PM's prediction of Jesus' Second Coming being treated as a guaranteed investment.

If the prediction market truly experiences explosive growth, with increasing trading volume and depth, the risks of manipulation and centralization will become increasingly severe.

This trader made a total of 48 predictions of market movements within 15 minutes, earning a net profit of $80,000 in one day.

Earning $80,000 a day, this top player treats Polymarket like an ATM.

Written by: Mahe, Foresight News
Solana, one of the most successful public blockchains, is also facing a winter.
Since the market crash on February 5th, Solana's token SOL once fell to $67, a new low since December 2023. As of now, SOL is currently priced at $80, a 24-hour drop of 3.57%. Looking at the monthly chart, SOL has been declining for five consecutive months since its October 2025 high, with a maximum drop exceeding 71%. The most well-known aspect of this ecosystem...

Meme wanes, narratives cool: Solana's cyclical boom ends as it falls below $80.

Original Author: He Hao, Wall Street Insights

On Thursday, US stocks plunged, with the Nasdaq falling over 2%. Some traders sold precious metals to offset losses in the stock market, causing gold, silver, copper, platinum, and palladium to decline sharply. The US dollar index rose slightly.

Amid renewed concerns about whether massive investments in artificial intelligence can truly be implemented on a large scale, US tech stocks declined. Metal prices suddenly fell due to suspected algorithmic trading selling, forcing some investors to exit commodity positions, including metals, to obtain liquidity, while some funds turned to US Treasury bonds for safety.

Spot gold fell as much as 4.1%, and silver plummeted 11...

Gold fell more than 4% at one point, and silver plummeted 11%, as a sharp drop in US stocks triggered a sell-off in algorithmically traded precious metals.