US January non-farm payrolls and unemployment rate data: Non-farm payrolls increased by 130,000 in January, while the unemployment rate remained slightly unchanged at 4.3%. Job growth was primarily driven by healthcare, social assistance, and construction. The seasonally adjusted total non-farm payrolls for March 2025 were revised down by 898,000. The higher-than-expected job growth, lower-than-expected unemployment rate, and lower-than-expected seasonal revision for March 2025 are all clear signs of an improving labor market. It seems that Hassett's previous statements were intended to dampen market expectations and project a pessimistic outlook, but the data is actually quite positive, even employing a strategy of building optimism before optimism. A series of new reports released last week indicated that the labor market may deteriorate further with increased layoffs and fewer job openings. However, the latest data will help reinforce Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's argument that the labor market is showing signs of stabilization. While the strong labor data may reduce expectations of interest rate cuts, there are also arguments that the significant increase in January's non-farm payrolls may be partly due to a downward revision of the previous year's data. While I personally have some doubts about the unusually good data, it has boosted confidence in markets worried about an economic recession.
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qinbafrank
@qinbafrank
美国劳动力市场放缓到什么程度?以至于让哈塞特周一晚上专门出来表态,今晚公布的美国1月非农失业率数据,机构一致性预期7万人;失业率预计维持在4.4%,略低于去年11月触及的4.5%的四年高点。1月非农就业报告可能不会改变劳动力市场疲弱的整体图景。但更重要的数据今晚还要公布25年非农就业数据的最终 x.com/qinbafrank/sta…

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