ME News 消息，2 月 11 日（UTC+8）， 1 月非农就业报告公布后，美国短期利率期货下跌。目前交易员预计美联储在 4 月前降息的可能性仅为 20%，已较数据公布前的约 40%显著降低。尽管他们仍押注美联储将在 6 月进行下一次降息，但认为届时按兵不动的概率已升至近 40%，而就业报告发布前这一概率约为 25%。(金十)（来源：ME）

非农数据大超预期，交易员削减美联储降息押注

According to ME News, on February 11 (UTC+8), US short-term interest rate futures fell after the release of the January non-farm payroll report. Traders now estimate the probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut before April at only 20%, a significant decrease from approximately 40% before the data release. While they still bet on the Fed cutting rates again in June, they believe the probability of holding rates steady at that time has risen to nearly 40%, compared to about 25% before the jobs report. (Source: ME)

Non-farm payroll data significantly exceeded expectations, prompting traders to reduce their bets on a Fed rate cut.

Original Author: He Hao, Wall Street Insights

On Thursday, US stocks plunged, with the Nasdaq falling over 2%. Some traders sold precious metals to offset losses in the stock market, causing gold, silver, copper, platinum, and palladium to decline sharply. The US dollar index rose slightly.

Amid renewed concerns about whether massive investments in artificial intelligence can truly be implemented on a large scale, US tech stocks declined. Metal prices suddenly fell due to suspected algorithmic trading selling, forcing some investors to exit commodity positions, including metals, to obtain liquidity, while some funds turned to US Treasury bonds for safety.

Spot gold fell as much as 4.1%, and silver plummeted 11...

Gold fell more than 4% at one point, and silver plummeted 11%, as a sharp drop in US stocks triggered a sell-off in algorithmically traded precious metals.

This trader made a total of 48 predictions of market movements within 15 minutes, earning a net profit of $80,000 in one day.

Earning $80,000 a day, this top player treats Polymarket like an ATM.

Written by: Mahe, Foresight News
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