The crypto market lacks new Capital inflows; it's too early to say it's a Bull run.

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On February 13th, a total of 38,000 BTC options and 215,000 ETH options expired, with maximum triggers of $74,000 (BTC) and $2,100 (ETH) respectively, for a total notional value of nearly $2.9 billion.

The cryptocurrency market continues to decline, causing pain points to fall rapidly. Options expiring today account for 9% of total open interest; while implied volatility this week is down, market sentiment remains weak and no new Capital inflows have emerged.

MAIN CONTENT
  • 38,000 BTC options and 215,000 ETH options expire on February 13th.
  • Maximum pain threshold: BTC $74,000; ETH $2,100; notional value ~$2.9 billion.
  • IVs decreased (BTC 50%, ETH 70%), but the market is still skewed towards put positions and lacks new Capital .

Option expiration data for February 13th

The put-call ratio for BTC is 0.71; for ETH it is 0.82. Notional value: $2.5 billion (BTC) and $410 million (ETH).

According to Greeks.live analysis, 38,000 BTC options and 215,000 ETH options expired on February 13th. The maximum pain point for BTC is at $74,000, while for ETH it is at $2,100, reflecting the price range where the options market tends to optimize losses for holders.

Today, expiring options accounted for 9% of total open interest, with a notional value of nearly $2.9 billion. Amidst continued price declines, the rapid drop in key support levels indicates widespread downward pressure across the Derivative market.

Market volatility signals, positions, and sentiment.

IVs declined this week: BTC main contract down 50%, ETH down 70%; put options dominated in volume, but Dip -buying activity emerged after the most recent dip.

Despite the decrease in IV, developments suggest the market has not yet recovered clear confidence. Volume leaned towards put options, consistent with a defensive trend as prices fell; after yesterday's continued decline, some Dip -hunting capital has begun to enter the market.

Large options data shows a rebound in Skew prices, while commodities saw significant gains in call options. However, the market is still described as a bear market; the assessment is that the most severe decline may be over, but due to a lack of new Capital inflows, it is too early to talk about a Bull market or a strong recovery.

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Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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