THE CRYPTO PARADOX: THE INDUSTRY WINS BIG, BUT Token HOLDER LOSE? There's a very unsettling paradox at play in crypto. From an industry perspective, we're winning big. Stablecoins are projected to reach a Volume of$33 trillion in 2025, a 72% year-on-year (YoY) increase. On-chain retail transactions increased from $314 million to $3.2 billion in just one year. > DeFi operates so smoothly that if AAVE were a traditional bank, it would be among the world's largest in terms of deposit size. Major players like Stripe, BlackRock, JPMorgan, Visa, PayPal… have all implemented on-chain strategies. Clearly, the technology is right. Adoption is real. But the Token price doesn't reflect that. 📌 PHASE IMBALANCE The easiest answer is: the price has been falling for too long, so everyone's tired. But crypto has experienced many cyclical deep drops before. Why does it feel more intense this time? This may be because it's not simply a cyclical downturn. The market is entering a phase called structural revaluation, which means reassessing the entire narrative of "who truly holds the value." Previously, we believed that if we could build a good network, ship the protocol, and get adoption, the Token would eventually increase in value. Things are different now. The protocol is still running well. The user base is still growing. But the Token isn't keeping pace. The builder and investor may be correct about their thesis, but wrong about the assets they own. 📌 WHERE DID THESIS BREAK? Token thesis was once based on three beliefs: 1/ There will be something that creates a lot of value. 2/ It will capture a significant portion of that value. 3/ Value capture will flow to the Token holder . The market has confirmed the first point: crypto creates real value. But the capture and flow aspects are no longer certain. 📌 VALUE HAS SHIFTED UP TO THE DISTRIBUTION LAYER Most investors hold infrastructure Token : L1, L2, DEX, bridge, oracle… i.e., infrastructure layer tokens. But the biggest money-makers are those who control the user relationship (Phantom, Polymarket, Tether...). Whoever controls the UI, whoever controls the transaction flow, that person controls the distribution. When you control the distribution, you can monetize everything below it. Meanwhile, blockspace is becoming increasingly abundant, switching costs are low, and liquidity can be routed to cheaper alternatives with just a click. Infrastructure is gradually becoming commoditized, making differentiation difficult. The "pipeline" is fuller than ever, but the money is at the top. 📌 WHAT'S NEXT? This isn't the death of Token. But Token may need to change. The market is no longer satisfied with the utility or scale narrative. They want to see a direct link between usage, revenue, and asset value. Crypto has moved past the speculation phase, then to the validation of the technology. Now it's time to determine who truly captures the value. The industry is right about the technology. But the market is deciding who gets paid. The builder who can solve the value capture problem, not just value creation, will shape the next era of crypto. Source: @CremeDeLaCrypto
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Upside GM
@gm_upside
02-24
KỊCH BẢN 2028: KHI TRÍ TUỆ NHÂN TẠO LÀM LUNG LAY CẢ NỀN KINH TẾ 🌍
Bạn có bao giờ tự hỏi: điều gì xảy ra nếu AI phát triển đúng như kỳ vọng, nhưng đó lại là tin xấu cho phần lớn chúng ta?
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