ME News消息，3月2日（UTC+8），预测市场数据显示，在“比特币3月1日价格是否高于68,000美元”事件中，“是”选项的成交概率由41.9%降至0.1%，单日下跌41.9个百分点。

比特币3月1日能否突破68,000美元？预测市场“是”选项概率单日骤降41.9个百分点

According to ME News, on March 2 (UTC+8), prediction market data showed that in the event of &quot;Will Bitcoin&#39;s price be higher than $68,000 on March 1?&quot;, the probability of the &quot;yes&quot; option being traded dropped from 41.9% to 0.1%, a single-day decrease of 41.9 percentage points.

Will Bitcoin break through $68,000 on March 1st? The probability of a "yes" option in the prediction market plummeted by 41.9 percentage points in a single day.

Editor's Note: From the Gulf War to the global war on terror, and then to the troop surge in Afghanistan, US military operations in the Middle East have spanned almost the entire international political cycle of the past few decades. Accompanying these wars are not only geopolitical conflicts and massive fiscal expenditures, but also an often overlooked variable: monetary policy.

This article reviews several key wars since 1990, examining the subtle relationship between war, fiscal pressure, and Federal Reserve policy: following numerous Middle East conflicts, the Federal Reserve has often stabilized the economy and financial markets through interest rate cuts or easing policies. Based on this, Arthur Ha...

Arthur Hayes: Is every Middle East war an opportunity to long on Bitcoin?

Author: CryptoSlate
Compiled by: TechFlow TechFlow
TechFlow Summary: This article clarifies a structural issue that is easily overlooked: Bitcoin ETFs are not the floor, but rather a conditional buyer. A net outflow of $3.8 billion over five weeks is not just a poorly calculated figure, but rather a sign that the most stable door for institutions was quietly closed at the height of tariff uncertainty. The data reversed after February 20th, but whether this reversal is a genuine signal or a tactical maneuver is worth careful consideration. The author provides three pathways and four indicators to observe.
The full text is as follows:
Bitcoin ETF...

After five consecutive weeks of outflows totaling $3.8 billion, the Bitcoin ETF suddenly reversed course. Who will decide the next move?

Dubai nominally has no US military bases, but due to its Jebel Ali port, the Dafra airbase in Abu Dhabi, and deep military cooperation, it appears to be viewed by Iran as an "extension of US territory [...]
The article "Dubai Has No US Military Bases, So Why Was It Attacked by Iran? Neutral Financial Centers Sound the Alarm" was originally published on BlockTempo, the most influential blockchain ABMedia media.