Bitcoin is rallying but the market it depends on is not that strong.
The S&P 500 is at new highs.
But only ~55% of stocks are above their 200-day average.
In strong rallies, that number is closer to 65–75%.
This is a narrow move, driven by a small group of stocks.
Bitcoin is still trading as a risk asset. So if this equity rally loses momentum, BTC won’t be immune.

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Samson Mow, a prominent Bitcoin supporter, entrepreneur, and CEO of Jan3, recently predicted that the “Omega candle” and the $1 million Bitcoin (BTC) level “are very close.”
This Bitcoin advocate argues that the source of supply...

Experts believe Bitcoin reaching $1 million and the "Omega candle" pattern are very close.

Original Author: Frank, MSX Maiton Two months have passed since the US-Israel joint strike against Iran.

On February 28th, the assassination of Iran's Supreme Leader Khamenei and the sudden closure of the Strait of Hormuz, according to market intuition honed over decades, seemed like a straightforward trading formula—war breaks out, oil prices rise, safe-haven demand increases, gold surges, and tech stocks face pressure.

However, the capital markets of 2026 have delivered a more complex and counterintuitive answer: Gold did not continue its upward surge following the traditional safe-haven logic; instead, it fell sharply from its January highs;...

A Retrospective on the 60-Day War: Has the Global Capital Market's Pricing of "War" Really Changed?

RWA's narrative is not that traditional crypto is trying to steal users from crypto, but rather that crypto is trying to steal users from traditional crypto.

Re-examining RWA: Nearly 50,000 people's first on-chain transaction wasn't Bitcoin, but rather stock indices and crude oil.

Narrow rallies can extend.
But they don’t absorb shocks well.
That’s the risk behind the current move.