Yes, I agree with that view. However, there's a small issue: If a signal appears that could signal a mini-bull run, such as a breakout above STH-RP, should we jump in? This includes deciding where to enter, how much to invest, and where to set the stop-loss. All of this needs to be planned in advance. Another example is if the breakout above STH-RP fails and BTC retraces again, where should we enter? If you're dollar-cost averaging, then continue, no need to worry about anything else. If you're a trend trader, then you need to weigh the pros and cons carefully. But I don't have a standard answer to this, as everyone's trading style, risk tolerance, and capital size are different, so I can't really give investment advice. If the certainty is high, I think I would try to catch it with a portion of my capital.