
                                    <div>
                                      <h3>Market View</h3>
                                      <p>Bearish on BTC, US capital driving force is weakening</p>
                                      <h3>Trading Strategy</h3>
                                      <p>Monitor the three major USD purchasing power indicators; if all are met, consider shorting or reducing BTC positions</p>
                                      <h3>Core Logic</h3>
                                      <p>Coinbase negative premium, Binance USDC/USDT rate above 1, and RMMPC blue line below red line all signal US capital exiting and weakening drive for BTC. Currently, the first two indicators show signs, but the third has not appeared yet</p>
                                    </div>
                                    

贝儿 @0xGummyBear 小姐姐说的这个“Coinbase 溢价指数” 也是我经常会关注的指标。
它和Binance USDC/USDT汇率，以及Glassnode上的RMMPC，可以合称“美元购买力观测三大核心指标”。而且前2个都是免费的。
1、Coinbase 负溢价表示美国投资者购买热情减弱。
2、Binance USDC/USDT汇率大于1表示更多的USDT被卖成USDC，资金有退场意图。
3、RMMPC中蓝线低于红线表示美国区主力交易时段对BTC的驱动力开始减弱。
如果以上3条全符合，那么BTC大概率就要涨不动了。目前1和2已出现了一点苗头，3还没有。

The Coinbase premium spread can generally reflect the sentiment of U.S. funds.
From 2024 to 2026, as long as it enters a continuous negative premium, there's a high probability the trend will turn bearish.
But still need to pay attention to the fact that this negative

加密貝兒ღ

Twitter

GummyBear (@0xGummyBear) mentioned the “Coinbase Premium Index,” which is also one of my go-to indicators.

Together with the Binance USDC/USDT rate and RMMPC on Glassnode, these three make up the core trio for tracking USD buying power in the market. Plus, the first two are free to access.

1. Negative Coinbase Premium means US investor interest is cooling off.
2. If Binance USDC/USDT > 1, it signals more USDT is being swapped for USDC, suggesting money is exiting the market.
3. On RMMPC, when the blue line drops below the red, it shows US trading hours are losing their influence on BTC price action.

If all three indicators line up, it’s likely BTC will lose momentum. Right now, we’re starting to see signs in #1 and #2, but #3 hasn’t triggered yet.

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