BlockBeats 消息，1 月 29 日，据 CME「美联储观察」数据，美联储 2 月维持利率在 5.25%-5.50% 区间不变的概率为 97.9%，降息 25 个基点的概率为 2.1%。

CME「美联储观察」：美联储2月维持利率不变的概率为97.9%

BlockBeats news, on January 29, according to CME "Fed Watch" data, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in the range of 5.25%-5.50% in February is 97.9%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 2.1%.

CME "Fed Watch": The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in February is 97.9%

Market analysis shows that since November 21st, the daily RSI has remained below the 50 midline. Currently, observing the daily RSI, we see potential for it to break through the 50 midline.
Key points:
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Bullish signal: If the RSI successfully breaks through the 50 midline, this will be a worthwhile opportunity to long.
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Double resonance: At the current position, breaking through the 50 midline also inevitably means that the price will break through the daily-level descending moving average.
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Trend reversal: A double breakout signifies both a reversal in trading volume and a breakout in the trend, which, from a technical perspective, is extremely...

Shill| BTC Thread

A quick overview of institutional and trader opinions on the market outlook.

Is Bitcoin about to choose a direction?

Chapter 1: Executive Summary and Industry Landscape Analysis
As of December 19, 2025, the global digital asset mining sector is undergoing the most profound structural transformation since the birth of Bitcoin. With Bitcoin's price retreating to the $86,000 range after reaching an all-time high of approximately $125,000 in October 2025, and the total network hashrate surpassing the 1,000 EH/s mark, mining companies face the dual challenges of compressed profit margins and surging capital expenditures in the "post-halving era."

1.1 Industry Differentiation

Figure 1: Analysis of the Relationship between Hashrate and Market Capitalization of Major Mining Companies in 2025

The above figure clearly shows the current...