Odaily星球日报讯 近期传统金融市场的股票和债券市场波动率指数 VIX 和 MOVE 在避险情绪中走高。与传统市场相比，比特币的回调再次脱颖而出，几乎没有表现出恐慌，比特币隐含波动指数 DVOL 走出分化趋势。 本月比特币的价格下跌 7%。而 Deribit 的 BTC DVOL 指数从（年化） 75% 下降到 70%。根据 TradingView 的数据，这是从 3 月高点约 80%开始的回调延续。 自 2023 年以来，比特币的隐含波动指数与其价格正相关，伴随比特币的价格反弹而回升，通常是牛市的特征。（CoinDesk）

Odaily星球日报讯 近期传统金融市场的股票和债券市场波动率指数 VIX 和 MOVE 在避险情绪中走高。与传统市场相比，比特币的回调再次脱颖而出，几乎没有表现出恐慌，比特币隐含波动指数 DVOL 走出分化趋势。本月比特币的价格下跌 7%。而 Deribit 的 BTC DVOL 指数从（年化） 75% 下降到 70%。根据 TradingView 的数据，这是从 3 月高点约 80%开始的回调延续。自 2023 年以来，比特币的隐含波动指数与其价格正相关，伴随比特币的价格反弹而回升，通常是牛市的特征。（CoinDesk）

传统市场恐慌指数飙升，比特币隐含波动指数DVOL有所下降

Odaily Odaily News: Recently, the stock and bond market volatility indices VIX and MOVE in the traditional financial market have risen amid risk aversion. Compared with traditional markets, Bitcoin's pullback once again stood out, showing almost no panic, and the Bitcoin implied volatility index DVOL has emerged from a divergent trend. The price of Bitcoin has fallen by 7% this month. Deribit's BTC DVOL index has fallen from (annualized) 75% to 70%. According to TradingView data, this is a continuation of the pullback that began at a high of about 80% in March. Since 2023, Bitcoin's implied volatility index has been positively correlated with its price, and has rebounded with Bitcoin's price rebound, which is usually a feature of a bull market. (CoinDesk)

Odaily Odaily News: Recently, the stock and bond market volatility indices VIX and MOVE in the traditional financial market have risen amid risk aversion. Compared with traditional markets, Bitcoin&#39;s pullback once again stood out, showing almost no panic, and the Bitcoin implied volatility index DVOL has emerged from a divergent trend. The price of Bitcoin has fallen by 7% this month. Deribit&#39;s BTC DVOL index has fallen from (annualized) 75% to 70%. According to TradingView data, this is a continuation of the pullback that began at a high of about 80% in March. Since 2023, Bitcoin&#39;s implied volatility index has been positively correlated with its price, and has rebounded with Bitcoin&#39;s price rebound, which is usually a feature of a bull market. (CoinDesk)

The traditional market panic index soared, and the Bitcoin implied volatility index DVOL fell

Source: LD Capital
Market Overview
The Nasdaq and S&P indices fell sharply in the past week and fell below their respective 50-day moving averages, experiencing their worst week in more than a year. After the pullback in the past three weeks, the US and Japanese stock markets have basically given up half of their gains. The performance of the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 this year has been lower than that of the CSI 300:
Last week, technology leaders were the biggest losers, with a general double-digit decline (even higher than Bitcoin). Nvidia fell 14.5% and fell below the 50-day line and the key support level of $800. ARM fell 31%, and AMD SMCI stocks...

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Viewpoint 1: There is a high probability of volatility and adjustment on Monday. Let’s see what the bosses of the paid groups predict about the upcoming market conditions.
Su He: The market will fluctuate for a while, and the 4h Bollinger Band will slowly narrow. We will observe the strength of the support when it falls back to the lower track after narrowing. There is a high probability that it will rise after the second to third confirmation.
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