On Jan 22nd, after $BTC broke below the daily and 3-day support, I decisively went short and opened my initial position. On Jan 25th, I reminded the group again and posted on Twitter as well. The major trend was already broken here—perfect time to build shorts in the chop zone and look for further downside once weak consolidation continues.
Back then, I kept seeing a common comment under my post and in the market that I honestly don’t get:
“Many people say this move is so obvious, it’s just ‘carving a boat to seek a sword’—even a fool could see it coming, so this time will be different.”
But here’s my take: The market doesn’t stop printing similar candles just because it’s done so before. The market doesn’t suddenly invalidate a setup just because it’s popular, nor does an outlier opinion become correct simply for being contrarian.
To me, that kind of thinking is the real lack of logic and technical merit.
And no, this isn’t ‘carving a boat’ either. A break is a break.
No guessing, no ego, no stubbornness. Always stay objective and respect the market—it’s always right.
twitter.com/0xtongcan/status/2...
