Kyle, head of Multichain, predicts that Solana's mainnet will rival every major CEX in spot and PERP liquidity and trading volume by the end of the year, implying it will be on par with Binance CEX. (He even pinned this prediction to the top of his feed.) 😅
If this news about Twitter hadn't come out today, I would have just thought he was hyped up. Now it seems like Twitter's money might actually be running on Solana?
If Kyle Samani's prediction comes true, and the Solana mainnet reaches or surpasses Binance's levels in spot and perp trading volumes (based on current data as of January 2026), then:
- Spot trading volume needs to increase by approximately 1.64 times (currently, the Solana DEX spot is approximately $2.587 billion, and the Binance spot is approximately $4.24 billion).
- Perp trading volume needs to increase by approximately 81 times (currently, Solana perp is approximately $571 million, and Binance derivatives/perp is approximately $46.326 billion).
The data comes from @grok, and @SurfAI says it requires 12-32 times.
I think spot trading is possible with some effort, but it's less realistic for contracts. However, it's understandable; Multicoin has always been Solana's most steadfast strategic investor, and it's not shameful for them to boast about their own bag.
AI suggests that if this goal can be achieved, the reasonable price range for $Sol should be $400-$500.
Although I don't believe his predictions, I really do have $Sol Ah, I'd be satisfied with 350 😂😂😂