U.S. President Biden is facing the most difficult moment since his election campaign. There are growing calls within the Democratic Party for him to withdraw from the 2024 campaign. U.S. media also quoted people familiar with the matter as saying that former U.S. President Obama, who is also a Democrat, has also His close friends said: The possibility of Biden being re-elected has been greatly reduced...
According to a report by "AXIOS" on Friday, several senior figures in the Democratic Party believe that Biden may announce his decision to withdraw from the election as soon as this weekend:
The 81-year-old president is now self-isolating due to the coronavirus, but he has maintained his stance in public. But Democrats tell CNN that privately he has succumbed to mounting pressure, poor polling and untenable scrutiny that has made it impossible for his campaign to continue.
The president has been told that if he remains in office, former President Trump could win a landslide victory in November, destroying Biden's legacy and Democratic hopes.
Biden: I look forward to getting back on the campaign trail next week
But in the face of rising pressure, according to abcNEWS , Biden made a latest statement earlier and stated that he will return to the campaign next week.
I look forward to returning to the campaign trail next week to continue to expose the threats of Trump’s Plan 2025 agenda while demonstrating my own record and my vision for America: that we save our democracy, protect our nation’s rights and freedoms, and empower everyone Individuals create opportunities.
Biden campaign director Dillon also reiterated in an interview on the 19th that Biden will never withdraw from the election and he is still committed to defeating Trump. Dillon emphasized that Biden has repeatedly stated that he will continue to run and win, and that he is the candidate for the Democratic nomination and will continue to be re-elected.
Polymarket, a decentralized prediction market platform, shows that the probability of Biden withdrawing from the election has dropped from a high of 90% on the 19th to about 75%.
What will happen if Biden really drops out of the race?
According to the current news in the media, because people with different positions are very divided, there is still a lot of uncertainty about whether Biden will withdraw from the election. However, according to US media analysis , even if he does withdraw from the election, it will not be an easy process for the Democratic Party.
First of all, Biden is already the presumptive nominee of the Democratic Party and was overwhelmingly chosen during the primaries, facing almost no opposition. More than 4,000 voting representatives of the Democratic Party are expected to elect their presidential candidate through online nomination voting before the Democratic National Convention in mid-August.
If Biden withdraws before formal nomination:
3,949 individual representatives and 747 superdelegates will be asked to nominate new candidates. Under Democratic National Committee rules, a candidate needs to win a simple majority of delegates. (When all delegates participate, a majority of 2,349 votes out of 4,696 delegates is needed to win the nomination)
If Biden withdraws after formal nomination:
If it were more extreme, Biden would resign, become incapacitated or even die after the convention in mid-August. According to party rules, Democratic National Committee Chairman Jaime Harrison will need to discuss replacement candidates with top congressional Democrats and the Democratic Governors Association.
Then, members of the Democratic National Committee, composed of more than 400 representatives from every state and territory in the United States, voted to select new candidates.
Is He Jinli the best chance to qualify?
Currently, Vice President Harris Harris is considered by many commentators and experts to be the most likely replacement.
However, Harris, like Biden, has been troubled by low approval ratings in the past four years; on the other hand, this process may also trigger violent divisions within the party, which will have a negative impact on democracy when there is not much time left in the campaign. It is also a risky move for the party, especially after seeing that this week's Republican Congress was almost completely united and fully supported Trump, the situation has become more serious.
