According to Mars Finance, on September 12, according to data from the prediction market Polymarket, Harris's probability of winning the 2024 US presidential election rose to 50%, surpassing Trump (49%).
Mars Finance previously reported that on September 11, Musk said that although Harris's debate performance exceeded expectations, he still believed that Trump would perform better in actual work. Musk questioned: "If Harris can achieve great things, why has it not been effective so far?" He pointed out that due to the low frequency of work of the current President Biden, Harris actually has considerable power. Musk simplified the choice of voters to whether they want to continue the current trend for another 4 years or seek change.
