According to ChainCatcher, Hartnett, a well-known strategist at Bank of America, pointed out that the current market reaction to the Fed's 50 basis point rate cut seems to be following the script of "soft rate cut" or "panic rate cut". The US stock and credit markets are digesting the expectation of a 250 basis point rate cut by the Fed and an 18% earnings growth for S&P 500 index components by the end of 2025. "The risks are not much better, so investors are forced to chase" the rally, and "bubble risks" are making a comeback.
As for the reason for this carnival-like rise, Hartnett explained in his latest report that when there is no panic (at least not yet), Wall Street likes "panic rate cuts" the most. At the same time, the Federal Reserve hopes to cut interest rates by 50 basis points, so that real interest rates can fall from the highest level of this century and prevent layoffs in the small business sector that is already in recession.
