Two Factors That Could Drive Bitcoin Price to $70K

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Bitcoin’s recent price action has sparked discussions about the possibility of breaking through its all-time high of $73,780. A double bottom pattern indicating an uptrend suggests that it could break above this level.

However, Bitcoin has to overcome a significant resistance level before it can achieve this. The market is watching to see if these signals are consistent with the overall market trend and if Bitcoin can make it to $70,000.

Bitcoin Investors' Optimism Is Dangerous

According to historical patterns, Bitcoin is showing signs of a reversal. According to data from Santiment, an online cryptocurrency data platform, positive comments from investors and traders are often seen as bearish signals for cryptocurrencies. In the past, when the overall sentiment of the market turned overly optimistic, a price drop followed. This trend could recur, so investors should be cautious despite the uptrend.

When investor sentiment peaks, a sharp correction usually follows. If this pattern holds, Bitcoin could face short-term downward pressure. While a double bottom pattern provides a breakout, positive market sentiment can backfire, making it difficult to reach new highs.

Read more: What Happened at the Last Bitcoin Halving? Predictions for 2024

Bitcoin Positive Commentary Effect.
Bitcoin Positive Speech Effect. Source: Santiment

Meanwhile, the macro momentum for Bitcoin is strong. The centralized exchange Bitcoin balance indicator shows that Bitcoin is continuously being pulled out of exchanges. This is interpreted as a positive sign that investors are moving Bitcoin out of exchanges for long-term holding.

This continued outflow suggests that investors are bullish onBitcoin’s price trajectory , which counteracts the bearish signals from the broader market. This does not necessarily guarantee a bull run, but it does show that many investors are confident in Bitcoin’s future performance, which could help stabilize the price.

Bitcoin Exchange Net Position Change.
Bitcoin exchange ranking changes. Source: Glassnode

BTC Price Prediction: Important Breakout

Bitcoin is currently trading at $63,928 after a slight drop on Monday. The double bottom pattern suggests a 20.44% upside potential on a breakout, which puts the price target at $75,979. This would mean Bitcoin would surpass its previous all-time high.

However, the market situation suggests that consolidation is more likely than a sustained uptrend. Bitcoin has already bounced from $63,068, but it still needs to break through the $67,504 resistance level. Given the strength of this resistance, it may be difficult for Bitcoin to break through in the short term.

Read more: Bitcoin Halving History: Everything You Need to Know

Bitcoin Price Analysis.
Bitcoin Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

If Bitcoin breaks the $67,504 resistance, a move to $70,000 is possible. This would invalidate the current bearish-neutral outlook and boost investor returns, providing additional upside momentum.

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Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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