火星财经消息，据 QCP Capital 的最新报告，特朗普在 Joe Rogan Experience 播客上的采访于大选前一周发布，已获得超过 3200 万次观看，使其在 Polymarket 上的赔率升至 66% 以上。尽管加密货币被称为“特朗普交易”，比特币与特朗普赔率的关联似乎正在减弱，目前正试图突破 7 万美元并超越 7 月高点。本月比特币仅上涨 8%，低于平均 21%。如果现货价格维持在当前水平，今年 10 月将是比特币过去十年表现第四差的月份。
随着市场期待下周的选举结果，比特币是否能突破 7 万美元仍有待观察。报告中表示保持谨慎，因为预计周四的核心 PCE 数据和周五的非农就业数据不会出现意外。目前，各交易所的比特币永续合约未平仓总额达到 270 亿美元，接近今年的峰值。若比特币突破 7 万美元，可能引发新高，尤其是在更多杠杆多头参与的情况下。

<div>火星财经消息，据 QCP Capital 的最新报告，特朗普在 Joe Rogan Experience 播客上的采访于大选前一周发布，已获得超过 3200 万次观看，使其在 Polymarket 上的赔率升至 66% 以上。尽管加密货币被称为“特朗普交易”，比特币与特朗普赔率的关联似乎正在减弱，目前正试图突破 7 万美元并超越 7 月高点。本月比特币仅上涨 8%，低于平均 21%。如果现货价格维持在当前水平，今年 10 月将是比特币过去十年表现第四差的月份。<p>随着市场期待下周的选举结果，比特币是否能突破 7 万美元仍有待观察。报告中表示保持谨慎，因为预计周四的核心 PCE 数据和周五的非农就业数据不会出现意外。目前，各交易所的比特币永续合约未平仓总额达到 270 亿美元，接近今年的峰值。若比特币突破 7 万美元，可能引发新高，尤其是在更多杠杆多头参与的情况下。</p></div>

QCP：比特币与特朗普赔率的关联似乎正在减弱，若突破 7 万美元可能引发新高

According to the latest report from QCP Capital, Trump's interview on the Joe Rogan Experience podcast, released a week before the election, has received over 32 million views, raising his odds on Polymarket to over 66%. Although cryptocurrencies have been dubbed the "Trump trade," the correlation between Bitcoin and Trump's odds seems to be weakening, as Bitcoin is currently attempting to break above $70,000 and surpass its July highs. Bitcoin has only gained 8% this month, lower than the average 21%. If the spot price remains at the current level, October 2022 will be the fourth-worst performing month for Bitcoin in the past decade.

As the market awaits the election results next week, it remains to be seen whether Bitcoin can break above $70,000. The report suggests maintaining caution, as the core PCE data on Thursday and the nonfarm payroll data on Friday are not expected to have any surprises. Currently, the total open interest in Bitcoin perpetual contracts across exchanges has reached $27 billion, close to this year's peak. If Bitcoin breaks above $70,000, it could trigger new highs, especially with more leveraged long positions involved.

According to the latest report from QCP Capital, Trump's interview on the Joe Rogan Experience podcast was released a week before the election and has received over 32 million views, raising his odds on Polymarket to over 66%. Although cryptocurrencies have been dubbed the "Trump trade," the correlation between Bitcoin and Trump's odds seems to be weakening, as Bitcoin is currently trying to break above $70,000 and surpass its July highs. Bitcoin has only risen 8% this month, lower than the average 21%. If the spot price remains at the current level, October this year will be the fourth worst-performing month for Bitcoin in the past decade.

As the market awaits the election results next week, it remains to be seen whether Bitcoin can break above $70,000. The report suggests maintaining caution, as the core PCE data on Thursday and the non-farm payroll data on Friday are not expected to have any surprises. Currently, the total open interest in Bitcoin perpetual contracts across exchanges has reached $27 billion, close to the year's peak. If Bitcoin breaks above $70,000, it could trigger new highs, especially with more leveraged long positions.

QCP: Bitcoin's correlation with Trump odds appears to be weakening, a break above $70,000 could trigger new highs

Here is the English translation:

- <BTC> once broke through $2,500
- The top 10 tokens have generally rebounded
- A single-day liquidation of $68 million across the network
- <BTC> may break new highs?
- This week's market focus

<BTC> continued to fluctuate between $66,600 and $67,400 over the weekend, until last night around 8 o'clock it opened a relatively strong upward trend, and reached a high of $68,344 in the early morning (28th).
Slightly pulled back before the deadline, currently reported at $67,780, the 24-hour gain narrowed to 1.25%, which is...

Is Bitcoin expected to break through a new high of 68,000? This week’s U.S. non-farm payrolls report, the Bank of Japan’s interest rate decision, and Qixiong’s financial reports are coming...

QCP Capital stated that the dominance of <BTC> continues to rise, reaching a high of 59.75% this week. In contrast, <ETHBTC> broke through its key support level of 0.03850, falling 5.85% to a new low of 0.03625. As <BTC> approaches its ATH levels, the upward trend in <BTC> dominance may continue in the short term. As the week draws to a close, the focus is now on the non-farm payroll data to be released next Friday, which will provide more insight into the Federal Reserve's next move. The current probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut in November is 95%.

QCP Capital: Bitcoin dominance continues to rise, reaching a high of 59.75% this week

Odaily Planet Daily Report: The US spot Bitcoin ETF is expected to purchase its 1 millionth Bitcoin as early as this week, as traders are preparing for potential crypto-friendly factors in November. These positive factors include the US election, the Federal Reserve's potential interest rate cut, and Russia's lifting of the Bitcoin mining ban - all of which are happening in November. According to data from Apollo and SoSoValue, the issuer of the US spot Bitcoin ETF currently holds 976,893 Bitcoins, worth over $66.2 billion, accounting for nearly 5% of Bitcoin's $1.34 trillion market capitalization. The spot Bitcoin ETF needs a net inflow of $1.55 billion (i.e., the purchase of an additional 23,107 Bitcoins) to reach this milestone. To achieve this goal within this week, it would require a net inflow of $301 million per day on average. However, Henrik Andersson, Chief Investment Officer of Apollo Capital, believes that the "biggest determinative factor" in deciding whether the crypto market will rise is Trump's victory: "If he actually wins, we think the momentum in risk assets could drive Bitcoin to $100,000 by the end of the year."(Cointelegraph)