QCP 资本表示，尽管比特币在周五跌破 69,000 美元，但市场兴趣依然浓厚，总比特币期货和比特币期权的未平仓合约量分别保持在 406.5 亿美元和 253 亿美元。短期隐含波动率在 72% 以上，且 BTC 和 ETH 在选举周的看跌偏度有所增加，交易者纷纷增加下行保护仓位。尽管特朗普被普遍看好成为下一任美国总统，但预测市场上的特朗普胜算已从 66% 的高位回落至 57%，哈里斯的支持率则为 ...

<div>QCP 资本表示，尽管比特币在周五跌破 69,000 美元，但市场兴趣依然浓厚，总比特币期货和比特币期权的未平仓合约量分别保持在 406.5 亿美元和 253 亿美元。短期隐含波动率在 72% 以上，且 BTC 和 ETH 在选举周的看跌偏度有所增加，交易者纷纷增加下行保护仓位。尽管特朗普被普遍看好成为下一任美国总统，但预测市场上的特朗普胜算已从 66% 的高位回落至 57%，哈里斯的支持率则为 43%。无论结果如何，我们认为选举将再现 “利好出尽” 的行情，类似于纳什维尔比特币大会之后的情况。<br><br></div>

QCP：选举将再现”利好出尽”的行情，交易者正在增加下行保护仓位

QCP Capital stated that although BTC fell below $69,000 on Friday, market interest remains strong, with the total open interest of BTC futures and BTC options standing at $40.65 billion and $25.3 billion respectively. The short-term implied volatility is above 72%, and the put skew of BTC and ETH has increased during the election week, with traders adding more downside protection positions. Although Trump is widely expected to become the next US president, his odds of winning in the prediction market have fallen from a high of 66% to 57%, while Harris' support rate is...

QCP Capital stated that although BTC fell below $69,000 on Friday, market interest remains strong, with the total open interest of BTC futures and BTC options standing at $40.65 billion and $25.3 billion respectively. The short-term implied volatility is above 72%, and the put-call skew of BTC and ETH has increased during the election week, with traders adding more downside protection positions. Although Trump is widely expected to become the next US president, his odds of winning in the prediction market have fallen from a high of 66% to 57%, while Harris' support rate is 43%. Regardless of the outcome, we believe the election will see a "buy the rumor, sell the news" scenario, similar to the situation after the Nashville BTC conference.

QCP: The election will once again be a "good news is out" market, and traders are increasing downside protection positions

Trump's winning rate has decreased.

<Authored by BitpushNews>

On Thursday, the U.S. Department of Labor released the latest Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report. The September core PCE price index rose 2.7% year-over-year, higher than the expected 2.6%. The September PCE price index rose 2.1% year-over-year, the lowest level since early 2021, slightly above the Federal Reserve's 2% target.

After the data was released, the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury (TNX) briefly rose to 4.33%, and the financial markets declined.

At the close, the three major U.S. indexes fell sharply...

Uptober achieved? Conservative market sentiment ahead of election

Odaily Planet Daily Report: As the US election approaches, the trading volume of CME Bitcoin futures options has increased, with a large number of institutional trades betting that Bitcoin's price will exceed $85,000 by the end of November. Joshua Lim, CEO of Arbelos Markets, said he is pleased to see such large-scale positioning by institutional investors on CME, which may be a good sign, indicating that as the asset class of the crypto derivatives market matures, its liquidity will continue to increase. Bitcoin is increasingly seen as an inflation hedge and an alternative to the US presidential election, and the options market expects Bitcoin to see a 7% volatility on the day of the US election, which is slightly lower than Bitcoin's beta to risk assets. (The Block)