Odaily星球日报讯 预测市场 Polymarket 数据显示，目前预测特朗普赢得美国总统大选概率升至 68%，哈里斯赢得大选概率降至 32%，两者差距扩大至 36 个百分点。

Polymarket上特朗普胜选概率达68%，领先哈里斯36个百分点

Odaily Odaily reported that data from the prediction market Polymarket showed that the current prediction of Trump&#39;s probability of winning the US presidential election has risen to 68%, while Harris&#39; probability of winning the election has dropped to 32%, and the gap between the two has widened to 36 percentage points.

Polymarket's Trump's chances of winning are 68%, 36 percentage points ahead of Harris

Here is the English translation:

On November 5, data from the decentralized prediction market platform <Polymarket> showed that the probability of former President Trump winning the 2024 U.S. presidential election has risen to 62.4%.

It is reported that Polymarket reflects the market's expectations for various events through user bets. Unlike traditional polls, this type of platform is more focused on changes in capital flows and market sentiment, and has attracted over $30 billion in "real money" support, making it an effective reference for analyzing the political situation, and more convincing. Currently, Trump's odds of being elected are 1.57, while Harris' are 2.5. These odds data reflect the difference in global market confidence in the two candidates' chances of winning, and also suggest that Trump is likely to be elected.

Trump's election as President of the United States will have a significant impact on the Bitcoin market. As Trump is likely to be elected, since he has promised to make Bitcoin a national strategic reserve, in the past week, the net inflow of Bitcoin ETFs has reached $2.3 billion, indicating that the market is optimistic about Trump's election and Bitcoin. His victory will bring great momentum and a strong positive boost to Bitcoin.

Several senior market analysts have stated: the best time to enter the market is when the election results are not yet known.

Market volatility is increasing, and investors need to maintain rationality.

4E View: Trump’s election may set off the Bitcoin market, odds and prediction platforms suggest a higher chance of winning

According to the ChainCatcher message, recent data from the decentralized prediction market platform <Polymarket> shows that the probability of former President Donald Trump winning the 2024 US presidential election has risen to 61%, attracting widespread attention in the crypto community. At the same time, a large number of tokens and prediction activities related to Trump have rapidly emerged on the <Solana> (<SOL>) blockchain. As a decentralized prediction market, <Polymarket> reflects the market's expectations for various events through user bets. Unlike traditional polls, these platforms focus more on changes in capital flows and market sentiment, and have attracted over $30 billion in support. Recently, many user-created Trump concept coins on the <Solana> chain have seen significant price increases, attracting a lot of attention. In addition, as a US-based blockchain platform, <Solana> (<SOL>) is expected to further increase its influence in the capital market with the potential approval of a <SOL> ETF if Trump is elected. Therefore, in the past week, the net inflow of Bitcoin ETFs has reached $2.3 billion, which may indicate the market's optimism about Trump's election and Bitcoin.

Polymarket data shows that Trump's election probability rises to 61%, Solana and Bitcoin usher in positive news

After the dispute period, the market should judge it as "Trump lost".

Author: Zaddycoin
Compiled by: TechFlow
Please do your own research, this is just a personal opinion and does not constitute financial advice.

If, according to market rules, Trump is reported by @AP, @Foxnews and @NBCNews as having lost the election, I predict that the US presidential election market on @Polymarket will experience two "disputes", and retail investors may suffer losses due to the possibility of a reversal of the market outcome.

In other words, if the market determines that Trump has lost, the market may experience...