After November 2019, the market believed that the Fed would not cut interest rates in 2020, but then it cut them to zero in March; At the end of 2020, the view that the global V-shaped recovery would be sustained and that inflation would rise but be manageable forged the "inflation is temporary" narrative by Powell in Q1 2021; At the end of 2021, the high assessment of the Fed's rate hikes was severely inadequate, and it ultimately raised them at the fastest pace in decades.
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投资TALK君
@TJ_Research01
3 days ago
21年底,市场认为22年加息3次,最后加了17次
22年底,市场认为23年加息1次,最后加了4次
23年底,市场认为24年降息6次,最后降了4次
24年底,市场认为25年降息1次,最后?
我只知道市场的预期一定是错的,最后不是美联储开启加息周期,就是会降更多
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