Odaily星球日报讯 美联储上周的意外超预期鹰派，阻止了比特币大选后的涨势，比特币录得自特朗普 11 月初获胜以来的首次周线收跌。美联储表明了明年将降息两次，此前预期为四次。这种转变导致投资者重新评估他们在比特币等投机资产中的头寸，导致其价格下跌。加密货币投资者斯科特·梅尔克表示，“这也表明交易者主要关注获利了结，而不是激进的抛售。”（金十）

观点：美联储鹰派表态让比特币交易员谨慎

Odaily Odaily News: The Federal Reserve&#39;s unexpectedly hawkish stance last week halted Bitcoin&#39;s post-election rally, with Bitcoin recording its first weekly decline since Trump&#39;s victory in early November. The Fed indicated that it would cut interest rates twice next year, compared with four previous expectations. This shift has caused investors to reassess their positions in speculative assets such as Bitcoin, causing its price to fall. Cryptocurrency investor Scott Melker said, &quot;This also shows that traders are mainly focused on profit-taking rather than aggressive selling.&quot; (Jinshi)

Opinion: Fed's hawkish stance makes Bitcoin traders cautious

- The number of new unemployment claims is lower than expected
- The probability of the Fed pausing rate hikes in January is as high as 91.4%
- Economists: The risk of a US economic recession has decreased
- Pantera founder: Bitcoin has reached escape velocity
Bitcoin experienced a rapid drop yesterday afternoon, plunging $3,000 from $98,500, causing many long positions to be liquidated. It is currently fluctuating narrowly above $95,000, and although it has broken through $96,000 multiple times, it has quickly fallen back, without a clear trend.

Bitcoin fluctuates at $95,000” The number of initial unemployment benefits claims in the United States is lower than expected, and the chance that the Fed will not cut interest rates in January next year is over 91%

The author | @Web3_Mario
Summary: Last week, the cryptocurrency market experienced a significant pullback, which the market generally attributed to the so-called "hawkish rate cut" by Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, triggering concerns in the risk market about inflation and economic recession. However, according to the author's analysis, this is probably just a secondary factor in causing capital panic. The real impact is the uncertainty caused by Trump's strong pressure on Congress's short-term spending bill last Wednesday, jointly with Musk, and even the threat of canceling the debt ceiling rule, which has triggered a risk-averse sentiment in the capital.
Powell may have been caught in the crossfire, as macroeconomic data alone is not enough to trigger the market's concerns about monetary...

How to understand the recent decline: The first wave of "Trump shock" is coming

Odaily reported that Bitcoin fell 7% in the past 7 days. Ethereum also plummeted 10% during the same period. Ripple and Solana also experienced similar declines. The cryptocurrency market has been overshadowed by a bearish sentiment since the Federal Reserve hinted at a hawkish outlook for 2025. Traders have started to reduce the risk in their portfolios, causing Bitcoin to fall from its record high of $108,000. However, many experts in the cryptocurrency market are bullish on Bitcoin's price next year. Most cryptocurrency authorities believe that the price of Bitcoin will be higher than the current level next year, including: 1. K33 Research Institute predicts that the price of Bitcoin will reach at least $146,000 next year; 2. Standard Chartered, Bernstein, and Bitwise all expect Bitcoin's price to reach $200,000; 3. Tom Lee, the founder of Fundstrat, expects Bitcoin's price to reach $250,000. All eyes of cryptocurrency investors are on the upcoming cryptocurrency policy as the President-elect Trump will be inaugurated on January 20th. Trump even expressed an open attitude towards establishing a Bitcoin strategic reserve in the United States.