Gallup poll: Two-thirds of Americans expect stock market to rise in 2025 as tensions rise at home and abroad

Odaily report: A survey conducted by management consulting firm Gallup shows that two-thirds of surveyed Americans expect the stock market to rise by 2025, but about the same proportion of respondents expect the stock market rise to be accompanied by an increase in domestic political conflicts and international tensions in the United States. Specifically, 66% of respondents expect the stock market to rise in 2025, 30 percentage points higher than the forecast for 2023 during the period of high inflation and low economic confidence in December 2022. The survey also shows that only 23% of surveyed Americans expect "positive" political cooperation under the Trump administration, and only 32% predict a relatively peaceful international environment in 2025. However, these figures are an improvement over the 2023 political cooperation and international peace voting results (9% and 14% respectively). The analysis points out that this sentiment may have an impact on the cryptocurrency market. History shows that sustained stock market gains sometimes coincide with Bitcoin rallies, as investors exhibit a willingness to take on more risk. Data from the Bitcoin analysis platform Newhedge shows an unstable correlation between Bitcoin and the S&P 500 index, although some industry executives point out that Bitcoin's price movements are more closely linked to tech stocks.