Artificial intelligence (AI) is changing our lives at an astonishing pace, from voice assistants to self-driving cars, AI applications are everywhere. However, the future development of AI will have far-reaching implications, especially in the field of general artificial intelligence (AGI). OpenAI CEO Sam Altman yesterday (2/10) shared his three observations on AI economics, which reveal how AI is progressing at an incredible pace and the potential impact on our daily lives.

Relationship between AI intelligence and resource input

Altman pointed out that the intelligence level of AI models is proportional to the resources used to train and run them. This means that as more computing power and data are invested, the intelligence of AI will significantly improve. In other words, the more you invest, the smarter the AI becomes. This predictable growth allows us to continuously enhance AI capabilities by increasing resource input.

Rapid decline in the cost of using AI

Another important observation is that the cost of using a specific level of AI drops by 10 times every 12 months. For example, the per-unit cost of GPT-4 has dropped by about 150 times from early 2023 to mid-2024. This rapid cost decline means that AI technology will become increasingly accessible, allowing more people and businesses to afford and utilize AI, driving more innovation and applications.

Socioeconomic value created by AI

Altman emphasized that the socioeconomic value created by the linear growth of AI intelligence is exponential. This means that as AI intelligence improves, its impact on the economy and society will experience explosive growth. We can expect AI to bring profound changes in various fields, from healthcare and education to finance and manufacturing.

Impact of AI on daily life

How do these observations affect our daily lives? First, AI will become our assistants in work and life, helping us accomplish various tasks. For example, AI agents can act like virtual colleagues, assisting us with repetitive or complex work, allowing us to focus more on creative and strategic tasks.

Furthermore, the widespread adoption of AI will lower the prices of many goods and services, allowing more people to enjoy high-quality products and services. For example, AI can help diagnose diseases, reducing healthcare costs; in education, AI can provide personalized learning experiences, allowing everyone to learn at their own pace.

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Future outlook

Looking to the future, AI will permeate all areas of the economy and society, changing our way of life. We need to cultivate adaptability and resilience, learning to navigate in a constantly changing world. Autonomy, willpower, and determination will become extremely important, as AI will enable individuals to have a greater impact than ever before.

However, the impact of AI will be uneven. Some industries may change little, but scientific progress may be faster than today, and the impact of AGI may exceed everything else. The prices of many goods may ultimately drop significantly, while the prices of luxury goods and some scarce resources (such as land) may rise more explosively.

Conclusion

AI is progressing at an astonishing pace and will profoundly impact our lives. By understanding the trends in AI development, we can better prepare for the future, fully leveraging the opportunities brought by AI while addressing potential challenges. Maintaining an open mindset, actively learning and adapting, will allow us to benefit in this era of transformation.

*This article was edited with the assistance of AI

〈OpenAI CEO: AI Costs Plummet 100x, Do You Still Need Human Colleagues?〉 This article was first published on《NONE LAND》.