4 月 7 日，据 Kalshi 数据，该平台上预测 2025 年美国经济衰退的可能性已激增至 68%，达到数月来的最高水平。
BlockBeats 注：特朗普长子小唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump Jr）于去年 10 月 13 日宣布担任预测市场 Kalshi 战略顾问。

<div><p>4 月 7 日，据 Kalshi 数据，该平台上预测 2025 年美国经济衰退的可能性已激增至 68%，达到数月来的最高水平。</p><p>BlockBeats 注：特朗普长子小唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump Jr）于去年 10 月 13 日宣布担任预测市场 Kalshi 战略顾问。</p></div>

Kalshi上预测美国经济衰退的可能性已激增至68%

On April 7, according to Kalshi data, the probability of predicting a U.S. economic recession in 2025 on the platform has surged to 68%, reaching its highest level in months.

<BlockBeats> Note: Donald Trump Jr. announced his appointment as a strategic advisor to the prediction market Kalshi on October 13 last year.

<div><p>On April 7, according to Kalshi data, the probability of predicting a US economic recession in 2025 on the platform has surged to 68%, reaching its highest level in months.</p><p>BlockBeats Note: Donald Trump Jr. announced his appointment as a strategic advisor to the prediction market Kalshi on October 13 last year.</p></div>

Kalshi predicts that the probability of a US recession has surged to 68%

I. Gold: Reconstructing the Ultimate Narrative by Breaking Through $3,370
[US Dollar]
On the morning of April 21, 2025, spot gold prices broke through $3,370 per ounce, with New York gold futures simultaneously surging to $3,375.9, creating a new record in human financial history. Behind this "gold rush" are the disruptive resonances of three forces: geopolitics, monetary systems, and capital flows.

1. Trump's Political Economy of the "Golden Rule"
[US Dollar]
Trump threw out on Truth Social the "golden rule of negotiation and success: those who own gold make the rules"...

Gold breaks through $3,370 to set a new high! Bitcoin hits 87,000 and makes a comeback: Trump's "Golden Rule" triggers the ultimate currency war

Today, we're discussing a big news that made the entire crypto community go wild - the Non-Fungible Token platform Zora, which once claimed to "make internet creation free and valuable," has officially announced on Twitter that they are finally issuing a token!
<代币>
This move has made speculators both excited and nervous. After all, those who have been in the crypto space know that whenever a project shouts slogans like "community building" and "ecosystem incentives" while issuing a token, there's always a familiar scent of potential speculation in the air.
But this story is far more exciting than an ordinary on-chain meme project. It not only involves a capital game from Coinbase's direct troops but also unfolds a narrative involving...

Base team personally Rug Pull? Exposing Zora’s coin issuance chain: from 600 million valuation to on-chain casino

At Which Crossroads of History Are We Standing?

Written by: <Bitcoin Magazine Pro>
Translated by: <Plain Blockchain>

In 2025, Bitcoin did not experience the explosive start that many had anticipated. After breaking through $10,000, there was a significant pullback, and investors and analysts began to question our position in the overall Bit cycle.

This article will look beyond market noise, delving into a series of key on-chain data and macro indicators to assess whether the Bit bull market remains intact or faces a deeper adjustment.

Healthy Correction or Cycle Termination?

One...

Kalshi predicts that the probability of a US recession has surged to 68%

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