
                                    <div>
                                      <h3>Market View</h3>
                                      <p>BTC weak rebound, unable to break above 117</p>
                                      <h3>Trading Strategy</h3>
                                      <p>No specific trading strategy, only describes market demand and price performance</p>
                                      <h3>Core Logic</h3>
                                      <p><ol>
    <li>
From 9/12 to 9/23, BTC price retraced but demand slightly increased
    </li>
    <li>
from 8/31 to 9/12, price rose but demand decreased, supporting the logic that failure to break 117 means a weak rebound
    </li>
</ol></p>
                                    </div>
                                    

好消息是：从9/12到9/23号，虽然BTC的价格在持续回调，但是市场的新需求在小幅上升。而在此之前，从8/31到9/12这段时间里，虽然BTC价格上涨但需求是下降的。这也从侧面印证了“无法站上117就是弱反弹”的底层逻辑。
（图1）

Signal Square

BTC关键支撑与阻力位的博弈
本轮自10.8w起步的反弹，BTC最终还是没能站上$117,000。此前我们分析过，能否站上117将决定这是“强反弹”还是“弱反弹”。原因在于，这一位置对应整个筹码结构中最高的一根筹码柱，是最强阻力位，聚集了大量短期套牢盘。因此能否突破并企稳，正是市场短期信心的最好体现。  x.com/Murphychen888/…

Murphy

Twitter

Good news: From September 12 to September 23, despite BTC’s price continuing to pull back, new market demand saw a slight uptick. In contrast, from August 31 to September 12, BTC price was climbing, but demand was actually declining. This indirectly confirms the underlying logic that “failing to break above 117 means it’s just a weak rebound.”  
(Figure 1)

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