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Retesting the Lifeline: BTC breaks below short-term holder average cost ⚠️ Quick update on a key signal today: STH-RP. As I mentioned in the quoted post below, BTC price was once again approaching STH-RP. Zooming into the lower timeframes since 9/22, BTC has tested the STH-RP a total of five times. Finally, during yesterday’s early morning dump, BTC decisively broke below STH-RP, putting some real distance between price and the line‼️ 📊 Current STH-RP sits at 111,619, slightly below spot price. It’s been less than a month since the last STH-RP test. Back on 8/29 ~ 9/01, BTC hovered around STH-RP for four days, eventually finding temporary support and bouncing back from that zone. 📈 Check out the previous update: x.com/market_beggar/status/196...… Now, with multiple bearish signals piling up, the support BTC got from STH-RP in early September wasn’t enough to kick off a new uptrend. Price is back at STH-RP again, and as of the 9/25 close, we have a confirmed breakdown. 📉 As mentioned in the quoted post below: With the major Lower Low confirmed and persistent top signals (RUP divergence, massive Realized Profit, etc.), I’ve always been conservative about STH-RP’s support strength from a macro perspective. In the short-to-mid term, I’m targeting at least 107,200 (see quoted post for details)❗️ Less than a month later, the STH-RP defense is on again. Will BTC find support at STH-RP this time? Let’s see... // 📚 Related Reading BTC Macro Strategy Framework x.com/market_beggar/status/196...… STH-RP (Short-Term Holder Realized Price) Explained x.com/market_beggar/status/188...… Cycle Top Signals: RUP 3-phase divergence & massive Realized Profit x.com/market_beggar/status/195...… // 【Shill time】 I’ve partnered with Crypto_com exchange 🥳 Crypto_com has an insanely cool feature: soft lockup. Just deposit funds into your trading account, and you’ll earn daily interest on your balance. What’s wild is—your open orders and unrealized PnL also count towards interest calculation. Basically, it’s a super efficient way to maximize your capital utility. 💰 Interested in signing up? Grab my invite link from my profile 🔗

貝格先生
@market_beggar
09-23
BTC 技術面更新:大級別 Lower High 確認,再次測試 STH-RP ⚠️ 承接上次 BTC 技術面的大級別框架分析(下方引文), 隨著昨天出現一波相對明顯的跌幅, BTC 在技術面上也出現了幾項比較重要的訊號‼️ 本文將延續先前的框架,和各位快速更新目前 BTC 的市況, 以及幾項我個人認為需要注意的跡象👇: x.com/market_beggar/…
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