The market has finally shown some "decent" movement recently.
The four major cryptocurrencies (BTC, ETH, SOL, and BNB) have all broken out of the triangle oscillation range I've been watching. Whether this is a true breakout or just a widening of the oscillation range remains to be seen. However, as long as they can continue their upward trend and hit a decent rebound high, this round of market movement will be considered stable.
10.27 Market Analysis:
This rebound is progressing as expected, with BTC) hitting resistance at 116, and Bitcoin (BTC) simultaneously reaching the 4200-4300 range. Both weekly and monthly charts are positive, with volume recovering, and the bullish trend remains solid. The rapid stabilization and strength after the shipment on the 21st indicate continued capital withdrawal.
BTC short-term rhythm
The current trend is towards 116. If it fails to break through, watch for a pullback to the 112-113 support range. If it can hold above 114, it is expected to test around 1175. The overall trend is still strong, so don't be scared out by small fluctuations.
🎯 ETH rhythm synchronization
The second cake has reached the key resistance of 4200-4300. In the short term, pay attention to whether it can break through around 4260. If it is under pressure, support will be seen in the 4100-4160 area, and strong support is in the 4000-4030 range. The overall trend is also bullish. In terms of rhythm, just wait patiently for a breakthrough with large volume.
The Federal Reserve is about to start a new round of money printing. U.S. stocks, A-shares, and gold have all hit record highs, but the crypto is still "playing dead."
There were actually quite a few positive factors this week - the easing of Sino-US relations, the CPI was lower than expected, the SOL Hong Kong ETF was approved, CZ was pardoned and donated BNB to support Trump's promotion of the popularization of encryption - but the coin price hardly reacted.
Honestly, this year's market is not cost-effective in terms of capital, time, and opportunity costs. The crypto is lagging behind, and it will likely take time to recover.
Since the plunge, the four major stocks have been converging around the triangular range.
According to the rhythm, there is a high probability that a direction will be chosen this week , which is also the most critical stage in building a bottom.
The good news is that there is no new crash, indicating that the support below is effective. The current view is very simple:
Increase your holdings in SOL and BNB in batches; these two still offer the highest risk-reward ratio. Don't rush into altcoins for now; wait until the broader trend is confirmed before making any moves.
🕓 Thursday: Federal Reserve interest rate meeting determines medium-term trend
This meeting is crucial, and an interest rate cut is almost certain . The key lies in whether Powell will directly announce "stop shrinking the balance sheet or even restart expanding it."
Once this signal is released, the capital market will see a major turnaround, which is extremely positive for the market. Next, we will focus on two risk points:
1️⃣ Whether there will be new institutions or projects that go bankrupt; 2️⃣ Whether the US government shutdown issue will be resolved.
Once these risks are resolved, the market will naturally enter a recovery period.
At the same time, it also depends on whether the four major players can break through the previous high of the rebound. Once they break out of the strong structure, the upper limit of this rebound will be far more than the current height.
⏳ The tail end of the bull market: Greed and rationality coexist
Many people say the bull market has peaked, citing the October 11th crash and the end of the cycle. I agree— we are indeed at the tail end of the bull market , but the tail end is often also the most frenzied period. The pattern of this round of copycat trading is "first decline, then rally," so don't expect too much. The overall strategy should shift from aggressive to conservative:
Reduce positions when prices are high and take profits in batches, while preparing to arrange low-multiple short orders in next year's bear market.
The market is always against human nature - in October everyone was bullish, but it ended up plummeting; now everyone is bearish, will there be another reverse slap in the face?
At present, most retail investors have left the market, and only large funds remain in the market. Miracles are more likely to happen at this time.
Personally, I think mainstream cryptocurrencies will have another decent upward surge, and it will depend on how the copycat cryptocurrencies are managed by the market makers.
Conclusion
The market isn't dead; it's simply gathering momentum. Don't be fooled by the short-term lull—the Four Heavenly Kings are building a bottom, Base is preparing for a major move, and the Federal Reserve is paving the way. The next two months may be the final dance of the bull market. What should stabilize will stabilize, and what should rise will rise. Perhaps this time, it truly is "the night before dawn."
The opportunity is gone in the blink of an eye, darlings, gather quickly!
Don’t let hesitation delay the best opportunity to make a fortune, and don’t be cut into pieces by air coins. Follow Sister Miao and enjoy this bull market together!
AC+V: Mixm5688
