Greeks live 表示，美国政府正式结束 43 天史上最长停摆，期间大量经济数据缺失，宏观分析只能依赖预测。12 月 FOMC 成为关键节点。利率期货显示降息 25bp 概率约 50%。比特币处于“等待信号”状态，100,000 美元成为敏感价位。期权 OI 与成交量持续攀升，市场分歧加大，一个“合理理由”可能成为行情触发点。

<div>Greeks live 表示，美国政府正式结束 43 天史上最长停摆，期间大量经济数据缺失，宏观分析只能依赖预测。12 月 FOMC 成为关键节点。利率期货显示降息 25bp 概率约 50%。比特币处于“等待信号”状态，100,000 美元成为敏感价位。期权 OI 与成交量持续攀升，市场分歧加大，一个“合理理由”可能成为行情触发点。<br><br></div>

美国政府正式结束 43 天史上最长停摆，12 月 FOMC 成为关键节点

Greeks Live indicates that the US government has officially ended its 43-day shutdown, the longest in history, during which a large amount of economic data was missing, forcing macroeconomic analysis to rely solely on forecasts. The December FOMC meeting is a crucial juncture. Interest rate futures indicate approximately a 50% probability of a 25bp rate cut. Bitcoin is in a "waiting for a signal" state, with $100,000 becoming a sensitive price level. Options open interest (OI) and trading volume continue to climb, indicating increasing market divergence; a "reasonable justification" could trigger a price movement.

<div>Greeks Live indicates that the US government has officially ended its 43-day shutdown, the longest in history, during which a large amount of economic data was missing, forcing macroeconomic analysis to rely solely on forecasts. The December FOMC meeting is a crucial juncture. Interest rate futures indicate a roughly 50% probability of a 25bp rate cut. Bitcoin is in a &quot;waiting for a signal&quot; state, with $100,000 becoming a sensitive price level. Options open interest (OI) and trading volume continue to climb, indicating increasing market divergence; a &quot;reasonable justification&quot; could trigger a price movement.<br><br></div>

The US government officially ended its 43-day shutdown, the longest in history; the December FOMC meeting becomes a key juncture.

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