
                                    <div>
                                      <h3>Market View</h3>
                                      <p>Slightly bearish on BTC; a Stop Hunt around 80.5K may be needed</p>
                                      <h3>Trading Strategy</h3>
                                      <p>If price drops near the previous low (80.5K), closely monitor to see if it breaks through or completes a Stop Hunt before entering long</p>
                                      <h3>Core Logic</h3>
                                      <p><ol>
    <li>
Current BTC bottom structure is unhealthy, lacking Stop Hunt on lows
    </li>
    <li>
indicators (Maker and STH-NUPL) also support a potential retest of lower levels
    </li>
</ol></p>
                                    </div>
                                    

聊技術面的築底結構：市場或許欠 BTC 一個 Stop Hunt❓
近期，我花了大量時間，從鏈上分析的角度和各位分享訊號；
今天我打算從「技術面」的角度，來和各位分享一些築底的概念，
同時針對目前的 BTC 市況，聊一些自己對於後市的看法。
內容稍嫌硬核，但概念全部都有詳細教學，有需要者可參考文末🔗

Signal Square

交易概念大補帖（三）：市場最小阻力方向🚀
傑西李佛摩：「價格會往最小阻力的方向前進」
起初學交易的時候，覺得這就是一句華而不實的廢話；
現在回頭望去，愈來愈能感受到這句話背後的力量。
上次聊了訂單的種類、價格移動的原理，
而今天這篇帖子我打算來聊聊：何謂最小阻力方向❓
//
🟡  x.com/market_beggar/…

貝格先生

Twitter

Let's talk about technical bottoming structures: Does the market owe BTC a Stop Hunt?

Recently, I've spent a lot of time sharing signals from an on-chain analysis perspective.

Today, I plan to share some bottoming concepts from a technical perspective,

and also discuss my views on the current BTC market situation and its future direction.

The content is a bit technical, but all concepts are explained in detail. Those interested can refer to the link at the end of the article.

In the crypto world, what truly determines victory is never code, but the interplay between liquidity, power, and regulation. The rise and fall of BUSD is not merely a tragic tale of a stablecoin, but a financial war waged by exchanges attempting to "unify the world."

When BUSD was thrust onto the historical stage, it carried not only a compliance narrative, but also Binance's ambition to reshape the stablecoin order through coercive measures—by manipulating exchange rates and merging trading pairs, directly swallowing competitors' liquidity into its own ledger.

The "automatic conversion" of 2022 was a textbook example of a blitzkrieg; and 2023...

The Rise and Fall of Binance's Dominance: From BUSD's "Unification" to $U's "Conquering the World"—The Stablecoin Wars

Source: Galaxy Research; Translation: Jinse Finance xz
Bitcoin's closing price in 2025 is expected to be roughly the same as the level at the beginning of the year.
The cryptocurrency market experienced a genuine bullish wave in the first ten months of this year. Regulatory reforms continued to advance, ETFs continued to attract funds, and on-chain activity became increasingly active. Bitcoin hit an all-time high of $126,080 on October 6th.
However, the market failed to deliver the expected breakthrough after the initial frenzy; instead, it experienced rotation, repricing, and rebalancing. This was driven by factors such as unmet macroeconomic expectations, a shift in investment narratives, leveraged margin calls, and massive...

Galaxy: 26 Predictions for the Crypto Market in 2026

According to ME News, on December 20th (UTC+8), Sean Farrell, Head of Crypto Strategy at Tom Lee's Fundstrat, stated in his "2026 Crypto Outlook" report, "While I believe Bitcoin and the overall crypto market still have strong long-term upside potential, and liquidity-driven support is expected to emerge in 2026, we may still need to digest some risks in the first/second quarter of 2026, which could present more attractive entry points."

Tom Lee's fund analyst predicts Bitcoin may fall to $60,000 to $65,000 and Ethereum to $1,800 to $2,000 in the first half of 2026.

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