🗞 Beggar On-Chain Weekly Report #56: Patience, Confidence, Determination Today is 12/21—not just the Winter Solstice, but also exactly one month since BTC’s big dump. Like I’ve emphasized countless times in my “Shallow Bear Bottom Fishing Series”—BTC usually needs 1-2 months to recover after a massive drop. Choppy sideways action is painful, but we might not be far from a decisive move. 📝 The CBD Heatmap has three dimensions: time, price, and amount of coins. Unlike the URPD chart, the CBD Heatmap is address-based. As usual, here’s a quick update on BTC’s current coin distribution: 📝 Key takeaways today: 1️⃣ Addresses that bottom-fished nearly 1 million BTC at 84–86K in late Nov are still diamond-handing—no selling yet. 2️⃣ We’re seeing a small bag of trapped coins at 92–93K—about 350,000 BTC. In my 53rd weekly report (x.com/market_beggar/status/199...…), I talked about the appearance of these mega bottom buyers. Almost a month later, these mysterious whales that scooped massive BTC in a short time haven’t dumped a single coin. As for the 92–93K trapped supply, the CBD Heatmap shows these were late FOMO buyers around 12/10–12/12. The size isn’t huge, and some are already capitulating and taking the L, so they won’t be a big hurdle for the next move up. All this chop is basically a liquidity squeeze. During times like this, the most important thing is to sit on your hands and protect your capital. This hellish range won’t last forever—a breakout is coming. If you, like me and those 84–86K bottom fishers, believe BTC is building a solid base here, then all we can do is: “Stay patient, build confidence, and make up our minds.🔥” That’s it for now—thanks to all my weekly report readers. Happy Winter Solstice! 🍡 As usual, I’ll drop all the recent “Second Top Escape” analysis threads in the comments for you to dig into. // 📚 This Week’s Article Recap Vote for me!🔥 x.com/market_beggar/status/200...… “Bagholders Update”: Are they cutting losses yet? x.com/market_beggar/status/200...… Deep Bear Extreme Valuation Update: “Iron Bottom” with 100% Buy Win Rate x.com/market_beggar/status/200...… AVIV Heatmap Update: Is the Green Zone Coming? x.com/market_beggar/status/200...… TMMP Update: The Key Defensive Line Below x.com/market_beggar/status/200...…

⚠️ The "Escape the Peak 2.0" series of articles (sorted by publication date) All short positions have been closed; we are now waiting for a shallow bear market to buy the dips. x.com/market_beggar/status/199...… A Recap of the Market Crash: What Exactly Happened in the Past Month? x.com/market_beggar/status/198...… AVIV Heatmap Latest Value Update: Reasonable Price Assessment for the Golden Pit x.com/market_beggar/status/198...… For the first time since April: Buying power from "new buyers" continues to shrink. x.com/market_beggar/status/198...… Significant withdrawal of US funds signals the emergence of the "dumb money indicator." x.com/market_beggar/status/198...… The percentage of participants who have held BTC for 1 to 3 years has increased again. x.com/market_beggar/status/198...… AVIV Heatmap Update: BTC has officially entered the yellow zone. x.com/market_beggar/status/198...… Third Test of STH-RP Lifeline: Some Important Notes After the Market Reset x.com/market_beggar/status/197...… American investor sentiment has once again reached a high level. x.com/market_beggar/status/197...… The exhaustion of the BTC funding growth trend x.com/market_beggar/status/197...… First in BTC history: RUP four-stage divergence is forming x.com/market_beggar/status/197...… On-chain data breakdown: Detailed analysis of BTC profit pressure x.com/market_beggar/status/197...… BTC Accumulation Trend Score: Large participants' accumulating behavior is slowing down. x.com/market_beggar/status/197...… Retesting the lifeline: BTC falls below STH-RP again. x.com/market_beggar/status/197...… Analyzing the BTC bull and bear cycle from the perspective of a conviction buyer x.com/market_beggar/status/197...… BTC major-level Lower High confirmed x.com/market_beggar/status/197...… A pivotal week: Massive Realized Profits reappear, the battle to defend STH-RP begins. x.com/market_beggar/status/196...… Realized Profit's third massive appearance x.com/market_beggar/status/195...… BTC's new high is a false breakout: liquidity grabbing complete, technically bearish. x.com/market_beggar/status/195...… Potential RUP three-stage divergence & still quiet Realized Profit x.com/market_beggar/status/195...… Update on US capital sentiment curve: Are Americans secretly withdrawing again...? x.com/market_beggar/status/195...… RUP signal update: Minor divergence appears x.com/market_beggar/status/194...… Unusual signal of imbalance: skewed correlation between price and PSIP x.com/market_beggar/status/194...… BegChain Weekly Report - Top-Selling Series (34): Special Edition on Chip Structure Analysis x.com/market_beggar/status/194...… A flurry of positive factors & the restless RUP and Realized Profit x.com/market_beggar/status/194...… Top-Tier Hunting Plan (Part 5) x.com/market_beggar/status/194...… Top-Tier Hunting Plan (Part 4) x.com/market_beggar/status/194...… Urgent Update: The inflection point in the US investor sentiment curve appears to have appeared. x.com/market_beggar/status/194...… Top-Tier Hunting Plan (Part 3) x.com/market_beggar/status/194...… Top-Tier Hunting Plan (Part Two) x.com/market_beggar/status/194...… Top-Tier Hunter Program (Part 1) x.com/market_beggar/status/194...… Risk List Summary x.com/market_beggar/status/192...… BTC hit a new high as expected, has it peaked? x.com/market_beggar/status/194...… AVIV Heatmap Data Update: An Alternative Top-Down Assessment Method x.com/market_beggar/status/194...… Data Update: Cointime Price Deviation Top Limit Price Estimate x.com/market_beggar/status/193...… Bitfinex whale have likely completed their liquidation. x.com/market_beggar/status/193...… Special cycle & sluggish market x.com/market_beggar/status/193...… Has the Bitfinex whale finished liquidating its positions? x.com/market_beggar/status/193...… Realized Profit divergence begins to emerge x.com/market_beggar/status/193...… A divergence between US funding sentiment and market sentiment: Formal establishment x.com/market_beggar/status/193...… Glassnode Weekly Report Summary x.com/market_beggar/status/193...… Altcoin that have peaked ahead of schedule x.com/market_beggar/status/192...… Risk of divergence between US funding sentiment and market sentiment x.com/market_beggar/status/192...… x.com/market_beggar/status/193...… Established whale vs. newcomers: Bitfinex & Coinbase premium/discount x.com/market_beggar/status/192...… Bitfinex E/B Whale Liquidation x.com/market_beggar/status/192...… Bitfinex BTC Longs Whale Liquidation x.com/market_beggar/status/192...… Technical Analysis: BTC's High-Fuel Consumption Trend x.com/market_beggar/status/192...… Learning from history: Compiling potential top signals for the future x.com/market_beggar/status/192...… A fleeting dream: A monologue and prejudice from a 103K top-escapee x.com/market_beggar/status/192...…