So @arndxt_xo just dropped his 2025 crypto post mortem.
And the one line that  stood out is "You can be right and still lose if you're early." Been thinking about this from both a finance and creator angle.
1. Finance perspective
Being early is the same as being wrong and just
https://twitter.com/YashasEdu/status/2008050582582616305

Twitter

Despite market pessimism that the era of airdrops is over, a select few still managed to earn five- to six-figure profits in 2025. This article shares the most promising opportunities for 2026 [...]
The article, titled "Targeting Six Figures: The Most Worthwhile Airdrop Projects in 2026," was originally published on BlockTempo, the most influential blockchain ABMedia media.

Aiming for a six-figure sum, the most worthwhile airdrop projects of 2026 are all here.

Author | a16z crypto
Compiled by Odaily Odaily(@OdailyChina)
Translator | Dingdang (@XiaMiPP)
Editor's Note: In 2025, Zcash's surge reignited the privacy narrative in the crypto industry. More often than not, we see only the rising tide of emotion and the influx of capital; many may believe this is merely a temporary emotional surge, lacking an understanding of the narrative's sustainability. a16z crypto's latest report, "Privacy Trends...",...

Zcash is just the beginning. How will a16z redefine the privacy narrative in 2026?

Bitcoin enters 2026 with a cleaner market structure after a major year-end reset. Profit-taking has eased, and risk appetite is cautiously rebuilding, but reclaiming key cost-basis levels remains crit...

Clearing the Decks

this happen everytime, you cant be perfect in market, so if you know you're early then it's better than most already

Knowing when to hold hard and when to leave the rope lose is as retail we've to understand